摘要
目前我国经济运行正处于存货投资短周期波动的扩张期、固定资产投资增长短周期和中周期波动的扩张期、产业结构升级中周期波动的衰退期和中长周期波动的复苏期。与这一系列经济活动的周期性变化特征相对应 ,我国GDP增长正处于短周期波动的扩张期、中周期波动的复苏期和中长周期波动的谷底。我国经济已进入了新一轮的快速增长期 ,而且短期内不会出现大幅度波动现象 ,政府仍应采取中性宏观经济政策。
At present,Chinese economic growth is just moving on the overspreading stage of its business circle.The fix assets investment growth is just on the overspraeding stages of its short-term circle and medium-term circle.And the industry structure upgrade is on the recession stage of its medium term circle and the recovering stage of its long medium term circle.Adapting to all these periodic waving features of different economic activities,Chinese GDP growth is just on the overspreading stage of its short-term circle,the recovering stage of its medium term circle and the bottom of its long medium term circle.Chinese economy has already got into a rapid growth period,but the economic growth speed will not wave intensely in short term.The government should still adopt neutral macro\|economic policies at present.
出处
《经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2003年第7期10-17,共8页
Economic Research Journal
