摘要
目的预测及评价食管癌早诊早治对于食管癌发病、死亡的降低程度及其把握度。方法采用磁县干预乡及对照乡的发病和死亡数据 ,预测经过以内窥镜技术为主要食管癌初筛手段及内镜下粘膜切除术进行食管癌早诊早治后对于食管癌发病、死亡的降低程度及其把握度。结果经过食管癌早期诊断、早期治疗 ,到干预后第 5年时 ,其干预组的食管癌发病率及死亡率均比自然对照组低。在 α=0 .0 5的显著水平下 ,发病率降低的把握度在第 5年时达到 76 .5 7% ,而死亡率在第 5年时其把握度达到了 81.6 %。结论对于以内窥镜技术进行食管癌早期诊断、早期治疗 ,我们有足够的把握认为其确实可以明显地降低食管癌的发病及死亡率。
Objective To forecast the incidence and mortality rates after taking the preventive strategies for esophageal cancer in Hebei Cixian.Methods The data were collected from Cixian Cancer Registry.We calculated the power for reducing incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer with endoscopic technology as an early detection and treatment method.Results The incidence and mortality rates of the treatment group was significantly lower than the control group,the power was 76 57% for the incidence and 81 6% for the mortality rates at the end of the 5th year.Conclusion After using endoscopic technology as an early detection and treatment method,the incidence and mortality rates would be decreased markedly during the near five years.\;
出处
《中国慢性病预防与控制》
CAS
2003年第2期54-55,共2页
Chinese Journal of Prevention and Control of Chronic Diseases
关键词
食管癌
流行病学
预测
早期
死亡
诊断
治疗
Esophageal cancer
Early detection and early treatment
Epidemiology
Forecast
