摘要
本方案采用850、700、500hPa三个层次的环境平均流场作控制点法。综合考虑这些层次上的引导气流在不同时、空域中的相对重要性。试验结果表明,其效果比单一取某层作引导为佳。且对用来预测台风的未来24小时路径是否异常具有一定的参考价值。
In this paper, the possibility of the control point method to be used for prediction of anomalous track of typhoon is investigated. Furthermore, by weighing 850,700 and 500 hPa layers, the relative importance of the steering current in different time and regions is taken into consideration.The experiment suggests that this scheme is helpful to predict whether a typhoon will show an anomalous track in 24 hours followed.
出处
《海洋预报》
北大核心
1992年第3期8-16,共9页
Marine Forecasts
关键词
异常路径
气流
控制点
台风
anomalous track
steering current
control point.
