摘要
短临地震预报是当今地震科学的重大难题,同时又是减轻地震灾害的关键。提高短临地震预报决策及其执行的科学性是摆在地震工作者和政府领导面前的重大课题,也是地震社会学、地震对策研究中的核心问题。本文根据决策科学的基本原理,重点探讨了短临地震预报决策及决策实施的基本原则、条件和程序,同时还提出了相应的模式和对策。
Short-term and impending earthquake prediction is now a significantly difficult problem of earthquake seience,and is the key to earthquake hazard reduction as well.To improve the scientific character of policy decisions for short-term and impending earthquake predic- tion and their implementation is not only an important task confronting seismological workers and government leaders,hut also the core problem of the research on seismosociology and earthquake countermeasures.According to the fundamentals of policy decision science,the paper makes an approach to the basic prineiples,requirements and procedures of policy deci- sions for short term and impending earthquake prediction and implementation of the deci- sions,at the same time,it also puts forward a relevant mode of decision making and the corresponding countermeasures.
出处
《国际地震动态》
1992年第9期1-8,共8页
Recent Developments in World Seismology
