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震后趋势早期判断的初步研究 被引量:14

A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE EARLY-STAGE JUDGMENT OF POST-EVENT TENDENCY
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摘要 本文系统清理了云南及邻近地区1965年以来106个地震序列,对h、b、K、U、等值的震后趋势早期(7天以内)判断指标和预报能力;双震型序列中h、b值的联合早期判断;前震、多震型序列的地震波特征等方面进行了初步研究,并将权重集成法应用于地震序列的早期综合判断中,提取了各单项方法的权重系数和权重集成值的临界阈值。 In this paper, 106 earthquakes in Yunnan and its vicinities since 1965 have been reviewed, and a preliminary study has been made on the early-stage judgemnt indicators and their predictive capabilities for the post-event tendency (within 7 days) of h, b, K and U values, on the combined early-stage judgment of h and b values of double events, and on the seismic wave characteristics of foreshock and multishock sequences. At the same time, the weighted integrate method has been used in the early-stage synthetic judgment of the sequences, so as to get the critical threshold of the weighted coefficient of each single term and weighted integrate value.
机构地区 云南省地震局
出处 《地震研究》 CSCD 北大核心 1992年第4期355-365,共11页 Journal of Seismological Research
关键词 地震序列 判断 震后 地震 Earthquake sequence Early-stage judgment Weighted integrate method Post-event tendency judgment
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