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应用全球九个区域的大震预测中国大陆强震 被引量:8

PREDICTION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN CHINA MAINLAND BASED ON NINE LARGE EARTHQUAKES IN THE WORLD
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摘要 在一年尺度内,全球有九个区域的大震(M_s≥7 3/4)与中国大陆强震(M_s≥7.0)对应的次数较高,总的大震对应率达85.5%,二者相关性较好,因此,可根据这九个区域发生的大震预测中国大陆将要发生强震的概率,作为预报中国大陆地震趋势的一种方法。文中对一些现象做了定性解释。 Within a year, large earthquakes (M.S ≥ 7%) in nine regions of the world show a good corresponding relation to strong earthquakes (MS ≥ 7.0) in China Mainland. The general corresponding ratio of large earthquakes reaches 85.5%, the correlativity of both is comparatively good. So, the probability of strong earthquake occurrence in China Mainland can be calculated according to the occurrence of large events in the nine regions of the world, which can be regarded as a method to predict the seismic trend in China Mainland. Some phenomena were qualitatively explained in the paper.
出处 《地震》 CSCD 北大核心 1992年第3期41-47,61,共8页 Earthquake
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