摘要
基于我国1978—2019年经济增长和竞技体育产出变量,构建向量自回归模型,研究二者之间的动态关系。研究结果表明,我国经济增长与竞技体育发展之间存在长期稳定的关系,且具有一定的滞后性;国内生产总值、人均国内生产总值增长与第三产业发展可以在短期内推动竞技体育发展,而财政支出情况在短期内无法改变竞技体育的发展状况;从长期来看,我国经济增长对竞技体育的发展产生显著且持续的正向效应,其中,第三产业发展对竞技体育的贡献度最为显著,且呈现持续上升的趋势。
Based on the variables of economic growth and competitive sports output in China from 1978 to 2019,a Vector Autoregressive Model is constructed to study the dynamic relationship between economic growth and competitive sports development in China.Research results showed that there is a long-term stable relationship between China’s economic growth and the development of competitive sports,with a certain time lag.Gross domestic product,per capita gross domestic product,and the development of the tertiary industry can promote the short-term development of competitive sports.However,fiscal expenditure cannot significantly alter the development status of competitive sports in the short term.The relationship between China’s economic growth and the development of competitive sports exhibits a long-term and significant positive effect.The development of the tertiary industry has contributed most significantly to competitive sports,and this contribution continues to increase.
作者
李江
黄东霞
LI Jiang;HUANG Dongxia(School of Physical Education,Chengdu Sport University,Chengdu 641418,China;Beixing Middle School of Xindu No.1 High School,Chengdu 610504,China)
出处
《河南财政金融学院学报(自然科学版)》
2026年第1期79-85,共7页
Journal of Henan Finance University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
成都体育学院校级委托项目(21YJW01)。
关键词
经济增长
竞技体育
动态关系
向量自回归模型
贡献度
economic growth
competitive sports
dynamic relationship
Vector Autoregressive Model
contribution degree
