摘要
近年来,全球气候治理面临复杂新形势,但绿色低碳发展终成时代潮流。我国绿色低碳产业竞争优势逐步显现,应对气候变化工作取得显著进展。基于我国温室气体排放总量及国内主流研究机构关于碳达峰时间的分析研判,在当前政策情景下,我国“十五五”期间有望如期实现碳达峰目标。此外,我国已提出2035年温室气体净排放量下降目标,为做好政策统筹衔接,“十五五”时期,要以落实2035年国家自主贡献目标为契机,以碳达峰碳中和为牵引,坚持减缓和适应气候变化并重,科学制定“十五五”应对气候变化规划,持续推进重点领域绿色低碳转型,有力加强非二氧化碳温室气体的管控,完善适应气候变化工作体系,健全碳市场机制和碳足迹管理体系,做好政策制度支撑,并积极参与引领全球气候治理。
In recent years,the global climate governance landscape has faced complex new challenges.Nevertheless,green and low-carbon development has ultimately emerged as the prevailing trend of our times.China s green and low-carbon industries have gradually gained a competitive edge,and significant progress has been made in addressing climate change.Based on analyses of China s total greenhouse gas emissions and assessments by leading domestic research institutions regarding the timeline for carbon peaking,it is anticipated that under current policy scenarios,China will achieve its carbon peaking target as scheduled during the 15th Five-Year Plan period.Furthermore,China has already set a goal to reduce its net greenhouse gas emissions by 2035.To ensure effective policy coordination and alignment,the 15th Five-Year Plan period should leverage the implementation of the 2035 Nationally Determined Contributions(NDCs),using the dual carbon goals—carbon peaking and carbon neutrality—as key drivers.It is essential to accord equal importance to both mitigating and adapting to climate change,scientifically formulate the 15th Five-Year Plan on climate change,continue advancing the green and low-carbon transformation of key sectors,vigorously strengthen the management of non-CO_(2) greenhouse gases,improve the working system for adapting to climate change,develop the carbon market and the management system of carbon footprint,reinforce policy and institutional support,and actively participate in and lead global climate governance.
作者
李可心
李丽平
张彬
LI Kexin;LI Liping;ZHANG Bin(Policy Research Center for Environment and Economy,Ministry of Ecology and Environment,Beijing100029,China)
出处
《环境与可持续发展》
2026年第1期54-60,共7页
Environment and Sustainable Development
基金
生态环境部应对气候变化管理项目(2110108)。
关键词
气候变化
碳达峰碳中和
“十五五”时期
国家自主贡献目标
climate change
peak carbon dioxide emissions and carbon neutrality
15th five-year plan period
NDC targets
