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基于适应性循环模型的乡村韧性时空分异、类型识别及提升策略研究——以淮河流域安徽段为例

Research on Spatio-Temporal Differentiation,Type Identificationand Improvement Strategies of Rural Resilience Basedon Adaptive Cycle Model:A Case Study of HuaiheRiver Basin in Anhui Section
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摘要 淮河流域安徽段的村庄存在洪涝灾害风险大、人居环境脆弱等问题,因此,开展乡村韧性研究对淮河流域具有重要意义。研究基于适应性循环理论模型,构建了“承受干扰力度-抵御能力-适应能力”淮河流域安徽段乡村韧性评价体系,明确了2001—2021年乡村韧性时空演变特征,划分了乡村韧性类型。结果表明:在时序演变上,淮河流域安徽段乡村韧性整体呈现上升趋势;在时空分异上,整体韧性水平偏低,高韧性乡村主要集中在流域中部地区。依据适应性循环理论模型对淮河流域安徽段各乡村所处的适应性阶段进行落位,主要分为外在干扰主导类、抵御能力主导类和抵御-适应能力协同类3种类别,并提出差异化治理策略。 The rural areas in the Anhui section of Huaihe River Basin are confronted with prominent problems such as high risks of flood disasters and fragile living environments.Conducting research on rural resilience is of great significance for promoting rural revitalization.Based on the adaptive cycle model theory,this study constructs a rural resilience evaluation system for the Huaihe River Basin in Anhui section,consisting of"disturbance magnitude-resistance capacity-adaptive capacity,"clarifies the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of rural resilience from 2001 to 2021,classifies rural resilience types.The results show that in terms of temporal evolution,rural resilience in the Anhui section of the Huaihe River Basin has generally shown an upward trend.In terms of spatial differentiation,the overall resilience level is relatively low and high-resilience villages are mainly concentrated in the central regions of the river basin.Based on the adaptive cycle theory model,the adaptive stages of each village in the Anhui section of the Huaihe River Basin were positioned,mainly divided into three categories:external interference-dominated type,resistance capacity-dominated type,and resistance-adaptive capacity-coordinated type,and differentiated governance strategies were proposed.
作者 顾康康 丁欣 刘家文 张馨木 GU Kangkang;DING Xin;LIU Jiawen;ZHANG Xinmu(School of Architecture&Urban Planning,Anhui Jianzhu University,Hefei 230601,China;Anhui Institute of Land Spatial Planning and Ecology,Hefei 230601,China)
出处 《沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026年第1期61-69,共9页 Journal of Shenyang Jianzhu University:Social Science
基金 安徽省教育厅高校自然科学研究项目(2022AH010021) 2024年度教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(24YJA630025)。
关键词 乡村韧性 淮河流域安徽段 适应性循环理论 时空分异 rural resilience Huaihe River Basin in Anhui section adaptive cycling theory spatio-temporal differentiation
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