摘要
目的分析2010—2023年上海市浦东新区猩红热流行特征,及时掌握猩红热发病情况。方法通过中国疾病预防控制信息系统收集报告日期在2010年1月1日至2023年12月31日上海市浦东新区猩红热登记的信息,采用描述性流行病学方法和Joinpoint回归模型分析。结果2010—2023年上海市浦东新区共报告猩红热病例5669例,未报告死亡病例。年均报告发病率为7.27/10万,总体呈逐年降低趋势。时间分布上,春季和冬季为发病高峰,男性发病率高于女性,且主要影响儿童,尤其是2~10岁年龄段。Joinpoint回归模型分析显示,2010—2023年猩红热报告发病率的年度变化百分比(APC)和平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)表明发病率在波动,且2019-2023年(APC为-53.7%)发病率显著下降。结论2010—2023年上海市浦东新区猩红热报告发病率总体逐年降低,儿童仍是防控重点。
Objective To analyze the epidemic characteristics of scarlet fever in Pudong New Area,Shanghai from 2010 to 2023,and to grasp the incidence of scarlet fever in time.Methods The information on the registration of scarlet fever in Pudong New Area,Shanghai from January 1,2010 to December 31,2023 was collected through the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System,and descriptive epidemiological methods and Joinpoint regression model were used for data analysis.Results From 2010 to 2023,a total of 5669 cases of scarlet fever were reported in Pudong New Area,Shanghai,and no deaths were reported.The annual reported incidence rate was 7.27/100000,and the overall trend was decreasing year by year.In terms of time distribution,the incidence peaks were in spring and winter.The incidence rate in males was higher than that in females,and it mainly affected children,especially those aged 2 to 10 years.Joinpoint regression model analysis showed that the annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)of the reported incidence rate of scarlet fever from 2010 to 2023 showed that the incidence rate was fluctuating,and the incidence rate decreased significantly from 2019 to 2023(APC was-53.7%).Conclusion The reported incidence rate of scarlet fever in Pudong New Area in Shanghai has decreased year by year from 2010 to 2023,and children remain the focus of prevention and control.
作者
陈诹
周安晨
吴荣鑫
张黎
叶楚楚
郝莉鹏
CHEN Zou;ZHOU Anchen;WU Rongxin;ZHANG Li;YE Chuchu;HAO Lipeng(Shanghai Pudong New Area Center for Disease Control and Prevention(Shanghai Pudong New Area Health Supervision Institute),Shanghai 200136,China;Fudan University Pudong Institute of Preventive Medicine,Shanghai 200136,China;Jinyang Community Health Service Center,Pudong New Area,Shanghai 200136,China)
出处
《公共卫生与预防医学》
2026年第2期26-29,共4页
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine
基金
上海市浦东新区卫生健康委员会优秀青年医学人才(PWRq2024-35)。
