摘要
在全球地缘政治冲突加剧、贸易保护主义抬头与经济格局深度调整的背景下,萤石资源产业链供应链网络面临“短链”“断链”“堵链”等多重风险冲击。研究面对冲击时网络的韧性,能够进一步保护萤石资源产业链供应链安全。本研究基于复杂网络理论构建萤石资源产业链供应链中氟化工产业的上中下游网络,通过节点韧性与结构韧性对网络进行测度,从静态视角与动态视角分析了其韧性在准备、抵抗、稳定和重构四个阶段的演变特征。研究结果表明:①萤石资源产业链供应链的中心国家相对稳定,集中在德国、中国、美国等国家,其中,德国凭借技术与资源优势长期占据主导地位;②萤石资源产业链供应链网络均为异配性网络,且网络中的国家在资源禀赋、产业规模等方面差异显著;③萤石资源产业链供应链的网络稳定性受核心节点与关键贸易的影响显著,网络效率呈现幂指数变化与极化效应;④萤石资源产业链供应链网络中,各国间的资源互补、技术优势及市场需求的动态变化为战略性合作提供了可能性。基于上述结论针对性提出强化资源战略布局、优化网络结构、培育关键节点企业、深化国际战略合作等政策建议,以期能够提升中国萤石资源产业链供应链网络韧性,推动萤石资源的高效利用与产业链供应链的可持续发展。
Against the backdrop of intensifying global geopolitical conflicts,the rise of trade protectionism and profound adjustments to the economic landscape,the industry chain and supply chain network of fluorite resources is confronted with multiple risk impacts such as“chain shortening”“chain breaking”and“chain blocking”.Studying the network resilience in the face of shocks is crucial to safeguarding the security of the fluorite resource industry chain and supply chain.Based on complex network theory,this study constructs an upstream-midstream-downstream network of the fluorine chemical industry within the fluorite resource industry chain and supply chain.The network is measured from the dimensions of node resilience and structural resilience,and the evolutionary characteristics of its resilience during the four stages of preparation,resistance,stabilization and reconstruction are analyzed from both static and dynamic perspectives.The results show that:①the core countries in the fluorite resource industry chain and supply chain are relatively stable,mainly including Germany,China and the United States,among which Germany has long maintained a dominant position relying on its technological and resource advantages.②The fluorite resource industry chain and supply chain networks are all disassortative networks,with significant differences in resource endowment,industrial scale and other aspects among countries in the networks.③The network stability is significantly affected by core nodes and key trades,and the network efficiency presents power-exponential changes and polarization effects.④Resource complementarity,technological advantages and dynamic changes in market demand among countries provide possibilities for strategic cooperation.Based on the above conclusions,targeted policy suggestions are proposed,including strengthening resource strategic layout,optimizing network structure,cultivating key node enterprises and deepening international strategic cooperation,aiming to enhance the resilience of China’s fluorite resource industry chain and supply chain network,and promote the efficient utilization of fluorite resources and the sustainable development of the industry chain and supply chain.
作者
郑明贵
温东洪
董娟
倪京生
ZHENG Minggui;WEN Donghong;DONG Juan;NI Jingsheng(School of Economics and Management,Jiangxi University of Science and Technology,Ganzhou 341000,China;Mining Development Research Center,Jiangxi University of Science and Technology,Ganzhou 341000,China)
出处
《中国矿业》
北大核心
2026年第2期46-55,共10页
China Mining Magazine
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“中国战略性矿产资源产业链供应链安全稳定战略研究(2025—2060)”资助(编号:22XGL003)
江西省教育厅科学技术研究项目“要素投入结构对资源型企业绿色全要素生产率的影响研究”资助(编号:GJJ2200870)。
关键词
战略性矿产
萤石资源
产业链供应链
贸易网络韧性
链路预测
strategic mineral
fluorite resource
industry chain supply chain
resilience of trade network
link prediction
