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基于国际经验的紧密型县域医共体医保基金总额预算测算方案实证研究

Empirical Study on the Calculation Scheme for Global Budget of Health Insurance in Tightly Integrated County Medical Communities Based on International Experiences
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摘要 目的:在推进紧密型县域医共体建设背景下,构建一套兼顾公平与激励的医保基金总额预算测算方案。方法:通过比较分析,优化由非协商因素和协商因素组成的测算框架;基于Y市医保结算与统计数据进行拟合并滚动预测。结果:多数年份各紧密型县域医共体医保基金预算拟合误差控制在5%以内。结论:采用非协商因素、协商因素、年度滚动校正的分层测算与决策框架,推进区域总额预算精细化改革,完善医疗机构质量绩效对接与结余激励,推动支付方式由“控费导向”向“控费+提质”协同转型。 Objective:To develop an operational global-budget estimation framework for tightly County Medical Communities(CMCs)that balances equity and incentives.Methods:The budget-setting practices was reviewed to promote a two-step framework combining non-negotiable factors and negotiable factors.Using medical insurance settlement and statistical data,rolling forecasts,and compare errors against benchmark models were conducted.Results:In most years,the fitting error at Tightly Integrated County CMC level stays within 5%.Conclusion:A tiered calculation and decision-making framework incorporating non-negotiable factors,negotiable factors,and annual rolling adjustments should be adopted to advance the refined regional total budget reforms.This framework will enhance the linkage between healthcare institutions’quality performance and surplus incentives,driving a coordinated shift in payment methods from a“cost-control-oriented”approach to a“cost control+quality improvement”model.
作者 李翔 张春峰 李玲 刘丹 Li Xiang;Zhang Chunfeng;Li Ling(National School of Development,Peking University,Beijing,100871,China;不详)
出处 《中国卫生经济》 北大核心 2026年第2期19-25,共7页 Chinese Health Economics
基金 潍坊市中央财政支持公立医院改革与高质量发展示范项目委托课题(2024WF04) 中国博士后科学基金面上项目(2024M760035)。
关键词 紧密型县域医共体 医保保障基金 总额预算 国际经验 tightly integrated county medical community medical insurance fund global budget international experience
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