摘要
推进政府数字服务能力与新质生产力的有效协同,是塑造新型生产关系的必然要求,对催生发展新动能具有重要意义。采用2015—2023年中国30个省份面板数据,基于混合QCA与回归分析方法构建复杂中介模型,探究组态路径如何提升政府数字服务能力并协同推动区域新质生产力发展。研究发现:六类组态路径可以提升政府数字服务能力。其中,政府组织开放性、数字基础设施或社会需求良好,数字技术应用或公民素养较好的组态路径通过提升政府数字服务能力促进新质生产力发展,但公民素养和数字技术应用能力不足也造成政府数字服务无法直接作用于新质生产力。信贷市场化既能强化组态路径对政府数字服务能力的驱动作用,也能提升政府数字服务能力对新质生产力发展的促进效果。这说明赋能新质生产力需深化数字技术应用能力,加强公民素养建设,灵活调整政府与市场的责任边界,释放金融市场价值。研究成果为推进政府治理体系和治理能力现代化,协同推进新质生产力培育提供理论与实践参考。
Enhancing government digital service capacity is crucial for modernizing the national governance system and aligns closely with the initiative to“develop new quality productive forces based on local conditions”outlined in the 2025 government work report.Although notable progress has been made in the digital transformation of governments across China,significant regional disparities persist,alongside challenges such as insufficient digital infrastructure and ongoing institutional and organizational restructuring.Therefore,further investigation is needed into how to strengthen digital service capacity to synergistically promote new quality productive forces.Based on 30 Chinese provincial panel data from 2015 to 2023 and guided by the Technology-Organization-Environment(TOE)framework,this study constructs a configurational model incorporating seven factors(e.g.,digital infrastructure,government organizational openness,and intergovernmental competition)that collectively shape digital service capacity.Using Qualitative Comparative Analysis(QCA),this study identifies multiple pathways through which these factors jointly improve digital service capacity.Regression analysis is further applied to examine how these pathways drive regional new quality productive forces development.The findings reveal that no single factor is sufficient to generate high-level digital service capacity;instead,such capacity arises from the interaction of multiple conditions,with government organizational openness playing a particularly critical role.Six distinct pathways are identified:a synergistic symbiosis type lightly promoted by government finance and digital technology application;a similar type driven by government finance and education;an organization-guided type facilitated by digital technology application;an environment-guided type supported by government finance;a diversified composite-guided type promoted by government finance in contexts of not-high civic literacy;and an environment-guided type driven by civic literacy in settings with not-high digital technology application.Five of these pathways enhance both digital service capacity and new quality productive forces development by unleashing labor productivity,reshaping production relations,and enabling innovative allocation of production factors.Credit marketization exhibits a positive moderating effect in four of the pathways,though it exerts no significant effect in the two environment-guided pathways.This study provides theoretical and empirical insights into the complex formation mechanisms of digital service capacity and its synergistic relationship with new quality productive forces,offering important policy implications for advancing national governance system modernization.
作者
李燕凌
蔡湘杰
LI Yanling;CAI Xiangjie(College of Public Administration and Law,Hunan Agricultural University,Changsha 410128,China;School of Public Policy and Administration,Xi’an Jiaotong University,Xi’an 710049,China)
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
北大核心
2026年第2期97-114,共18页
Journal of Statistics and Information
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“数字赋能农业农村公共服务高质量发展研究”(23VRC073)
国家自然科学基金面上项目“农村重大突发性公共卫生事件应急能力形成机理与提升路径研究”(72274059)。
关键词
数字政府
新质生产力
复杂中介模型
组态路径
信贷市场化
digital government
new quality productive forces
complex intermediary model
configuration path
credit marketization
