摘要
【目的/意义】分析2014—2023年两岸农产品产业内贸易的水平、影响因素及变化趋势,为促进两岸农产品贸易发展提供参考。【方法/过程】采用G-L指数与MIIT指数测算产业内贸易水平,并基于多元回归引力模型对比分析其影响因素。【结果/结论】G-L指数表明两岸农产品贸易呈现产业内贸易向产业间贸易转变的趋势,越南与中国内地、中国台湾均保持较高的农产品产业内贸易水平。MIIT指数显示两岸农产品贸易增量主要由产业间贸易驱动,中国内地与越南,中国台湾与韩国及泰国保持着较高的MIIT数值。市场开放度差异与地理距离对海峡两岸产业内贸易具有显著抑制作用,农产品贸易竞争力对中国内地有正面影响而对中国台湾地区有负面影响。建议通过深化区域合作、协调市场开放政策、提升产品差异及降低物流成本等措施,进一步促进两岸农产品贸易发展。
【Objective/Meaning】The analysis on the level,influencing factors and changing trend of intra-industry trade of agricultural products between both sides of the Taiwan Strait from 2014 to 2023 can provide reference for promoting the development of agricultural products trade between both sides of the Taiwan Strait.【Methods/Procedures】The G-L index and MIIT index were used to measure the level of intra-industry trade,and the influencing factors of intra-industry trade between bothsides of the Taiwan Strait were compared and analyzed based on the multiple regression gravity model.【Results/Conclusions】The G-L index showed that the agricultural trade between both sides of the Taiwan Strait has shown the tendency of changing fromintra-industry trade to inter-industry trade,and Vietnam maintained a high level of intra-industry trade in agricultural products with both sides of the Taiwan Strait.The MIIT index showed that the trade increment between both sides of the Taiwan Strait was mainlydriven by the inter-industrial trade.The index of MIIT between the Chinese mainland and Vietnam,between China’s Taiwan region and South Korea,and between China’s Taiwan Region of China and Thailand were high.The difference in market openness and geographicaldistance had a significant inhibitory effect on the cross-strait intra-industrial trade.The competitiveness of agricultural products tradehad a positive effect on the intra-industrial trade of Chinese mainland whereas its impact was negative for Taiwan Region of China.It was suggested to further promote the development of the cross-strait agricultural products trade by deepening the regional cooperation,coordinating the market opening policies,improving the product differentiation and reducing the logistics costs.
作者
何汶怡
谢婉莹
庄佩芬
HE Wen-yi;XIE Wan-ying;ZHUANG Pei-fen(College of Economics and Management,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou,Fujian 350002,China;Research Center for the South Pacific Island Countries,Fujian Agriculture andForestry University,Fuzhou,Fujian 350002,China)
出处
《台湾农业探索》
2025年第5期1-9,共9页
Taiwan Agricultural Research
基金
福建省习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究中心项目(FJ2024XZB081)。
关键词
两岸
农产品
产业内贸易
both sides of the Taiwan Strait
agricultural product
intra-industry trade
