摘要
[目的/意义]剖析情报认知博弈场景中认知偏差的要素、表现及形成机理,提出认知偏差应对策略,获取认知博弈优势,强化情报体系的认知韧性。[方法/过程]基于对情报事实的认识,梳理情报认知博弈场景中认知偏差的典型表现,系统分析认知偏差的形成机理,提出应对策略。[结果/结论]情报认知偏差的形成与演化经过认知环境污染、个体认知锚定以及群体认知塑造三个阶段形成自维持反馈放大循环,使认知偏差得以植入、成型并固化,由此从情报个体与情报体系两个方面提出认知强化策略,以应对情报博弈中的认知偏差现象。
[Purpose/significance]Analyze the elements,matters,and formation mechanisms of cognitive biases in the scenarios of cognitive game in intelligence field,propose countermeasures against cognitive biases,enhance the initiative in cognitive game,and strengthen the cognitive resilience of the intelligence system.[Method/process]Based on the understanding of intelligence facts,sort out the typical manifestations of cognitive biases in the scenarios of intelligence cognitive gaming,systematically analyze the formation mechanisms of cognitive biases,and propose countermeasures.[Result/conclusion]The formation and evolution of cognitive biases in intelligence involve self-sustaining feedback and amplification loops through three stages:cognitive environmental pollution,individual cognitive anchoring,and group cognitive shaping,which enables the implantation,formation,and solidification of cognitive biases.Therefore,cognitive enhancement strategies are proposed from two aspects,namely,intelligence individuals and the intelligence system,to address the phenomenon of cognitive biases in intelligence game.
作者
唐超
刘祥熙
李昊青
Tang Chao;Liu Xiangxi;Li Haoqing(School of Intelligence Policing,Chinese People’s Police University,Hebei Langfang 065000;Graduate School,Chinese People’s Police University,Hebei Langfang 065000)
出处
《情报理论与实践》
北大核心
2026年第1期23-29,共7页
Information Studies:Theory & Application
基金
中国人民警察大学校级科研重点专项课题“基于事实库的情报认知博弈机理实证研究”的成果,项目编号:ZDZX202602。
关键词
情报体系
情报研判
认知博弈
认知偏差
认知韧性
intelligence system
intelligence analysis and judgment
cognitive game
cognitive bias
cognitive resilience
