摘要
为探讨乡村数字化对农业碳排放的影响,基于中国2011—2021年的省际面板数据,分别采用面板回归模型、中介效应模型、门槛效应模型分析乡村数字化对农业碳排放强度的影响和作用机制。研究发现:乡村数字化每提升1%,农业碳排放强度显著减少0.915%。乡村数字化可通过绿色技术创新的间接效应降低农业碳排放强度;农村劳动力转移在农业碳排放强度降低中存在单一门槛,乡村数字化对农业碳排放强度的降低作用随农村劳动力转移的增加呈现递减态势;强度降低效应在粮食主产区及农产品出口大省中更为明显。因此,政府应积极推动乡村数字化建设,尤其是粮食主产区和农产品出口大省的数字化建设,大力提升区域农业绿色技术创新能力,合理控制农村劳动力转移规模。
To explore the impact of rural digitization on agricultural carbon emissions,this paper analyzed the impact mechanism of rural digitization on agricultural carbon emission intensity using China′s provincial panel data from 2011 to 2021.The analysis employed a panel regression model,a mediating effect model,and a threshold effect model.The results showed that for every 1%increase in rural digitization,the agricultural carbon emission intensity was significantly reduced by 0.915%.Rural digitization could reduce agricultural carbon emission intensity through the indirect effects of green technology innovation.There was a single threshold for rural labor migration in reducing agricultural carbon emission intensity,and the intensity-reducing effect of rural digitization was weakening as rural labor migration increased.The intensity-reducing impact was more pronounced in major grain-producing areas and strong provinces with significant agricultural exports.Therefore,the government should actively promote the digitization of rural areas,especially in major grain-producing regions and provinces with strong agricultural exports,and vigorously improve the ability of regional agricultural green technology innovation.It should also reasonably regulate the scale of rural labor migration.
作者
邢丽荣
曹传响
Xing Lirong;Cao Chuanxiang(School of Economics,Shandong University of Technology,Zibo 255012,China;Editorial Department of Academic Journal,Shandong University of Technology,Zibo 255049,China)
出处
《资源开发与市场》
2026年第1期65-72,共8页
Resource Development & Market
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目(编号:22BJY143)。
关键词
乡村数字化
农业碳排放强度
绿色技术创新
农村劳动力转移
rural digitization
agricultural carbon emission intensity
green technology innovation
rural labor migration
