摘要
Objective:To study the risk prediction model for multiple bronchoalveolar lavage in children with mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia(MPP).Methods:151 pediatric patients with MPP admitted in our hospital from July to December 2023 were selected,the incidence rate of multiple bronchoalveolar lavage was recorded.A logistic multivariate regression model was employed to analyze relevant factors and construct a risk prediction model for multiple bronchoalveolar lavage in children with MPP.Results:Among 151 children with MPP,64 cases underwent multiple bronchoalveolar lavage,accounting for 42.38%.The Logistic multivariate model analysis revealed that the pleural effusion,sepsis,and abnormally elevated serum levels of LDH and D-D were independent influence factors for multiple bronchoalveolar lavage in children with MPP(p<0.05),based on this,a Nomogram prediction model can be established.The ROC analysis results showed that the AUC of the model to judge the multiple bronchoalveolar lavage in MPP patients was 0.828(SE=0.035,95%CI=0.760-0.896,p<0.001),the sensitivity was 0.813 and the specificity was 0.759.Conclusion:The multiple bronchoscopic bronchoalveolar lavage in MPP patients are associated with the levels of LDH and D-D,as well as the presence of pleural effusion and sepsis complications,the risk prediction model established,which based on this has high accuracy.
