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中国新质生产力发展地区差距测度与影响因素识别

Research on Regional Gap and Influencing Factors of New Quality Productivity in China
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摘要 从“要素—结构—功能”系统视角,运用“VHSD-EM”模型赋权,基于2011—2021年中国省级数据,构建中国新质生产力发展评价指标体系并进行时空分布差异及影响因素分析。结果表明:(1)时间维度上,中国新质生产力发展水平逐年上升,2018—2019年发展速度骤增;(2)空间维度上,区域之间呈现东部、中部、东北、西部地区依次降低的分化格局,总体差异、地区内差异及地区间差异均呈扩大态势,地区间差距是总体差异的主要来源;(3)动态演进上,全国及三大地区新质生产力发展不均衡的程度正在加深,东部地区的不均衡程度最大,远超全国平均水平;(4)区域发展差异受到来自政府和市场各方因素的交叉影响,科技服务水平的影响作用最大,其次是财政科技投入、企业规模水平和普惠金融发展。 From the perspective of the“element-structure-function”system,this study constructs an evaluation index system for the development of new quality productivity in China.Using the“VHSD-EM”model,it assesses the development level of new quality productivity across 30 provinces from 2011 to 2021 and analyzes its spatial and temporal distribution as well as influencing factors.The findings are as follows:(1)Over time,the development level of new quality productivity in China has shown a continuous upward trend,with a sharp acceleration between 2018 and 2019.(2)In terms of spatial distribution,the development level of new quality productivity from high to low emerges as in order of eastern region,central region,northeastern region and western region.The overall disparity,intra-regional differences,and inter-regional differences are all expanding,with inter-regional disparities being the primary source of overall differences.(3)In terms of dynamic evolution,the imbalance in new quality productivity development is widening at both the national and regional levels,with the eastern region exhibiting the highest degree of imbalance,far exceeding the national average.(4)Regional development disparities are shaped by a combination of government and market-driven factors,with the level of science and technology services exerting the most significant influence,followed by financial investment in science and technology,enterprise scale,and the development of inclusive finance.
作者 孙莹 潘婷 杨扬 王晴 游诗雪 SUN Ying;PAN Ting;YANG Yang;WANG Qing;YOU Shixue(School of Economics and Management,China Jiliang University,Hangzhou 310018,China)
出处 《地域研究与开发》 北大核心 2025年第6期11-17,77,共8页 Areal Research and Development
基金 国家社会科学基金项目(24BGL242)。
关键词 新质生产力 评价体系 地区差异 VHSD-EM模型 new quality productivity evaluation framework regional disparities VHSD-EM model
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