摘要
准确把握集体林权制度改革的政策效果,对于加快推进林业高质量发展和实现乡村振兴战略具有重要意义。文中构建“驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应”(DPSIR)的多维评估指标体系,综合运用熵值法、TOPSIS法等对南方集体林区10个省(区)2011-2023年集体林权制度改革政策效果的空间分布特征、差异及演变趋势进行研究,并利用障碍度分析探索制约集体林权制度改革政策效果的影响因素。结果表明:1)各省份政策效果呈上升趋势,多数省份政策效果呈现等级提升趋势。具体地,2023年贵州(0.582)、安徽(0.581)、福建(0.546)位列前3,但仅湖南在一段时间内达到了“较优”等级(0.6<C≤0.8)。2)影响层(I)障碍度持续攀升(2023年均值达34%),取代响应层(R)成为最大障碍;状态层(S)与压力层(P)障碍稳中有升;驱动力层(D)障碍最低。3)林下经济产值增长率(I3)、林业科技推广站数量(R4)、林业投资占比(P3)等11项高频因子(出现频次≥21次)是集体林权制度改革政策效果的核心制约点。基于此,从核心举措、制度保障、区域协作3个角度提出集体林权制度改革政策实施的优化策略。
Accurately grasping the policy effects of the reform of collective forest tenure system is of great significance for accelerating the high-quality development of forestry and realizing the strategy of rural revitalization.The research constructs a multidimensional evaluation index system of“Driving Force-Pressure-State-Influence-Response”(DPSIR),and comprehensively uses entropy method,TOPSIS,etc.to study the spatial distribution characteristics,differences,and evolution trends of the effectiveness of deepening collective forest reform policies in 10 provinces(regions)in southern collective forest areas from 2011 to 2023.The obstacle degree analysis is used to explore the influencing factors that restrict the effectiveness of collective forest reform policies.The results show that:1)The policy effects of each province are on the rise,and the policy effect levels of most provinces have improved,and in 2023,Guizhou(0.582),Anhui(0.581),and Fujian(0.546)ranked the top three,but only Hunan reached the“better”level(0.6<C≤0.8)in the short term.2)The obstacle degree of the impact layer(I)continued to rise to an average of 34%in 2023,replacing the response layer(R)to become the biggest obstacle;the obstacle degrees of the state layer(S)and pressure layer(P)rose steadily;the obstacle degree of the driving layer(D)was the lowest(<10%);3)The growth rate of forest economy output value(I3),the number of forestry technology extension stations(R4),and the proportion of forestry investment(P3)and other 11 high-frequency factors(appearing≥21 times)were the core constraints.Based on these findings,this research proposes specific optimization paths from three perspectives:core initiatives,institutional safeguards,and regional cooperation.
作者
严茂林
牛昕
张红威
王烨
张鋆萍
张志丹
Yan Maolin;Niu Xin;Zhang Hongwei;Wang Ye;Zhang Junping;Zhang Zhidan(State Academy of Forestry and Grassland Administration,Beijing 102600,China)
出处
《林草政策研究》
2025年第2期61-73,共13页
Journal of forestry and grassland policy
基金
国家林业和草原局软科学研究项目“深化集体林权制度改革的政策效果评估及对策建议研究”(2024131020)。
