摘要
人与自然和谐共生是中国式现代化的本质要求。根据共生的生态学原理,本文认为人类生长、自然生长以及人与自然的互动关系可以用“杠铃”理论解释。当人类系统具有内生发展能力且互动系统双向正负物流平衡时可以实现正和博弈,据此形成了人与自然和谐共生的测度思路和指标体系,并利用浙江各地市以及全国29个省会城市2000—2023年的数据进行测度。实证表明,在中国式现代化进程中,人与自然呈现“先失调后协调”的U型共生关系。人与自然存在共生临界点,且共生临界点与和谐水平存在关联;当达到共生临界点,人类生长与自然消耗发生脱钩,人类系统具有内生发展能力。围绕“两山”理念的积极政策性因素会驱动人与自然和谐关系发生改变,加速人与自然进入共生区间。未来应该从人类系统、自然系统和互动系统三方面共同发力,提高人与自然的和谐共生水平,以中国式现代化为主线推动形成人与自然和谐共生的中国方案。
The harmonious coexistence between man and nature is the essential requirement of Chinese modernization.Based on the ecological principle of symbiosis,this paper argues that human growth,natural growth and the interaction between human and nature can be explained by the“barbell”theory.When the human system has endogenous development ability and the two-way positive and negative logistics of the interactive system is balanced,the positive sum game can be realized.Accordingly,the measurement approach and the index system of“harmonious coexistence of man and nature”are constructed,and the data of all cities in Zhejiang Province and 29 provincial capitals in China from 2000 to 2023 are used to measure it.The empirical results show that in the process of Chinese modernization,human beings and nature present a U-shaped symbiotic relationship of“first imbalance and then harmony”,and all cities in Zhejiang Province have taken the lead in realizing the harmonious coexistence between human beings and nature.There is a symbiotic critical point between human and nature,and the symbiotic critical point is related to the harmony level.When the symbiotic critical point is reached,human growth and natural consumption are decoupled,and the human system has the ability of endogenous development.The positive policy factors around Xi Jinping’s ecological concept will drive the change of the harmonious relationship between man and nature,and accelerate the symbiosis between man and nature.In the future,we should make joint efforts from the three aspects of human system,natural system and interactive system to improve the level of harmonious coexistence between man and nature,and promote the formation of a Chinese plan for harmonious coexistence between man and nature with Chinese modernization as the thread.
作者
张崇辉
赵鑫蕊
李茹茹
Zhang Chonghui;Zhao Xinrui;Li Ruru
出处
《统计研究》
北大核心
2025年第11期19-32,共14页
Statistical Research
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国式现代化的统计监测评价问题研究”(23&ZD037)。
关键词
人与自然和谐共生
中国式现代化
浙江经验
杠铃理论
Harmonious Coexistence between Man and Nature
Chinese Modernization
Zhejiang Practice
Barbell Theory
