摘要
为研究侦察无人机作战效能,确定效能变化趋势和最大效能情况,提出了作战效能演化趋势与最大效能分析方法。研究了侦察无人机作战效能的影响因素;描述并抽象了作战效能演化过程;建立了作战失败概率分布和影响因素空间。结果表明可用作战失败概率分布表征作战效能变化;作战效能影响因素需划分为静态和动态因素;以系统故障演化描述作战效能演化,确定影响因素与事件关系;以空间故障网络抽象建立演化网络结构,形成作战失败概率分布;基于作战失败概率分布计算式求导得到因素影响趋势,通过枚举确定了最大作战效能及对应因素值。实例确定了最小作战失败概率,表征了最大作战效能情况。最后说明了研究的拓展性,不足和意义。
In order to study the combat effectiveness of reconnaissance unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)and determine the changing trend and maximum effectiveness,the evolution trend and maximum effectiveness analysis method of combat effectiveness were proposed.The factors influencing the combat effectiveness of reconnaissance UAV are studied.The evolution process of combat effectiveness is described and abstracted.The combat failure probability distribution and the influencing factors space are established.The results show that the change of combat effectiveness can be characterized by the combat failure probability distribution.The influencing factors of combat effectiveness should be divided into static and dynamic factors.The combat effectiveness evolution is described by system fault evolution,and the relationship between influencing factors and events is determined.An evolution network structure is established based on space fault network abstraction,and the combat failure probability distribution is formed.Based on the calculation formula of combat failure probability distribution,the influence trend of factors is obtained,and the maximum combat effectiveness and corresponding factor values are determined by enumeration.The minimum probability of combat failure is determined and the maximum combat effectiveness is represented.Finally,the extensibility,deficiency and significance of the study are explained.
作者
李莎莎
崔铁军
LI Shasha;CUI Tiejun(School of Environmental and Chemical Engineering,Shenyang Ligong University,Shenyang 110159,China;Liaoning Safety Engineering Industry School,Shenyang Ligong University,Shenyang 110159,China)
出处
《兵器装备工程学报》
北大核心
2025年第11期227-233,共7页
Journal of Ordnance Equipment Engineering
基金
辽宁省属本科高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(LJ212410144051)
国家自然科学基金项目(52004120)。
关键词
系统安全
侦察无人机
作战效能
概率分布
演化趋势
最大效能
system safety
reconnaissance UAVs
combat effectiveness
probability distribution
evolution trend
maximum efficiency
