摘要
为了综合评判大坝溃坝后果所具有的复杂性和不确定性,文章基于灰色模糊理论,深入分析溃坝后果影响因素,建立定量和定性因素的隶属函数,提出了一种灰色模糊综合评价方法。该方法能够有效整合生命损失、经济损失、环境影响和社会影响等多个评价维度的信息不充分性,采用最大隶属原则对溃坝后果进行等级划分。研究结果表明,该方法在实际应用中具有较高的准确性和可靠性,能够为大坝安全管理提供科学决策支持。
To comprehensively evaluate the complexity and uncertainty of dam failure consequences,this paper employs grey fuzzy theory to conduct an in-depth analysis of contributing factors,establi-shes membership functions for quantitative and qualitative elements,and proposes a grey fuzzy com-prehensive evaluation method.The proposed approach effectively integrates insufficient data across multiple assessment dimensions including life loss,economic loss,environmental impact,social im-pact and so on,utilizes the maximum membership principle to classify consequence severity levels.Re-sults demonstrate that this method achieves high accuracy and reliability in practical applications,pro-viding scientific decision-making support for dam safety management.
作者
黄梦婧
杨海浪
叶根苗
HUANG Mengjing;YANG Hailang;YE Genmiao(Anhui Technical College of Water Resources and Hydroelectric Power,Hefei 231603,China;Anhui Provincial Group Limited for Yangtze-to-Huaihe Water Diversion,Hefei 230601,China;Ecological Environment and Water Affairs Bureau of Nanjing Jiangbei New Area Management Committee,Nanjing 210031,China)
出处
《安徽水利水电职业技术学院学报》
2025年第4期16-23,共8页
Journal of Anhui Technical College of Water Resources and Hydroelectric Power
基金
安徽省教育厅高校中青年教师培养行动项目(YQYB2023176)
安徽省自然科学基金“水科学”联合基金重点项目(2208085US06)。
关键词
溃坝后果
灰色模糊
综合评估
隶属函数
consequences of dam failure
grey blur
comprehensive evaluation
membership function
