摘要
“安全化—基础设施化双轨模型”为理解中国在东南亚的基础设施项目发展提供了新的分析框架。安全化是指将基础设施项目重新定义为安全议题的社会建构过程,基础设施化则是通过项目全生命周期实现权力投射和制度嵌入的综合过程。两者既相互促进又相互制约。四象限分析框架揭示了项目发展的四种理想类型及其演化路径。老挝南欧江流域梯级水电站通过透明化运营成功化解安全化风险,印尼雅万高铁项目展现了技术先进性与本土适应性相结合的成功模式,菲律宾国家宽带网络项目则因地缘政治敏感性遭遇挫折。项目成败取决于安全化与基础设施化两个维度的动态平衡,多层次影响因素的复杂配置决定项目走向。国内层面的政治制度、经济发展水平与国际层面的大国竞争、地缘政治环境相互交织,形成项目发展的结构性约束。在推动共建“一带一路”朝更高质量、更高水平发展时,中国海外基础设施项目需要通过精准风险识别、灵活策略调整和有效利益协调,在两个维度间寻求动态平衡,最大化发展效益并最小化安全化风险。
China’s infrastructure projects in Southeast Asia exhibit a complex tapestry of divergent outcomes,a phenomenon that eludes explanation through conventional,single-dimensional analytical approaches.The“Dual-Track Model of Securitization-Infrastructuralization”offers a conceptually innovative framework for systematically unpacking the development and mechanisms of such projects.Securitization refers to the socially constructed process by which infrastructure projects are reclassified as issues of national or regional security,while infrastructuralization denotes the comprehensive process through which states project strategic influence and institutional presence throughout the entire lifecycle of these projects.The two dimensions interact in a highly dynamic relationship marked by mutual reinforcement and inherent constraint.This interplay,when situated within a four-quadrant analytical framework,yields four ideal types of project trajectories and their respective paths of evolution.For instance,the cascade hydropower project on Laos’Nam Ou River successfully mitigated securitization risks through transparent operations;the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed railway in Indonesia exemplifies the successful integration of technological advancement and local adaptation.By contrast,the Philippine National Broadband Network project encountered major setbacks due to heightened geopolitical sensitivities.Case studies demonstrate that project success or failure hinges on the dynamic equilibrium between securitization and infrastructuralization.A complex interplay of multi-level factors-including domestic political institutions and economic development levels,as well as international dynamics such as major-country competition and geopolitical contexts-collectively impose structural constraints on project development.As China seeks to promote high-quality and high-standard development under the Belt and Road Initiative,its overseas infrastructure projects must achieve a dynamic equilibrium between the two dimensions.This requires enhancing risk identification,adjusting strategies with agility,and aligning stakeholder interests effectively-thereby maximizing development benefits while minimizing securitization risks.
作者
潘玥
PAN Yue(School of International Relations,Jinan University,Guangzhou,510632)
出处
《国际安全研究》
北大核心
2025年第6期98-124,154,155,共29页
Journal of International Security Studies
基金
2023-2024年度国家社会科学基金中华学术外译一般项目《贫困的终结(印尼语版)》(项目编号:23WSHB019)
2025年度广东省社科联青年学术工作坊《从万隆精神到数字互联:广东推进中印尼新时代产业合作的路径研究》(项目编号:2025GDF05)阶段成果。
关键词
安全化—基础设施化双轨模型
东南亚基础设施项目
地缘政治因素
“一带一路”倡议
全球南方
dual-track model of securitization-infrastructuralization
Southeast Asian infrastructure projects
geopolitical factors
Belt and Road Initiative
Global South
