摘要
To address the contradiction between the rapid development of ski tourism and effective protection of the ecological environment,this study constructed the DPSIR-EES(Drive-Pressures-State-Impact-Response-Environment-Economy-Society)model and Ski Tourism Destination Ecological Security System(STDESS)framework system.They form an integrated methodology system based on the“entropy weighting-hierarchical analysis-gray correlation projection”composite weighting method that can be used to clarify the intrinsic mechanism of ecological security in ski tourism destinations.Taking Chongli as a case study,this study evaluated the evolution of its ecological security from 1995 to 2023,predicted the ecological security early warning levels from 2024 to 2050,and analyzed the mechanism of influences on regional ecological security.The findings indicate that the ecological security of ski tourism destinations shows a significant“stepped leap–dynamic equilibrium”evolutionary path.The dynamic response mechanism of the subsystems is characterized by significant heterogeneity.The ecological security early warning system revealed the temporal and sequential differentiation of risk transmission.The factors influencing ecological security show the significant dual dominance of policy and climate.This paper enhances the applicability of ecological security systems within ski tourism contexts by analyzing their evolutionary characteristics,predicted future changes and impact factors,and it provides an effective case study for ecological improvement.
基金
National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42471284,No.42071199
Beijing Social Science Foundation,No.22GLB036。
