摘要
跨境数字贸易作为全球经济数字化转型的重要载体,在推动国际贸易格局重构与价值链升级的同时,也面临着跨境数据流动风险。研究发现,跨境数字贸易数据流动风险呈现出“技术-数据”因果链与“数据-市场”扩散链的双重传导形态。技术架构的脆弱性与数据治理的碎片化构成风险生成的内源动力,而数据安全事件通过破坏交易信任、扰乱金融秩序、损害企业声誉等渠道形成风险扩散的乘数效应。针对既有治理体系存在的区域主导性、静态化与单向度缺陷,构建“动态监测-多元整合-协同治理”三位一体的韧性规制体系,即治理逻辑从风险控制转向韧性培育,制度供给从刚性约束转向弹性调适,治理结构从政府主导转向多元协同。在此基础上,遵循“问题导向-制度常设-闭环管理-风险预防”的协同规制路径,以“技术驱动与数据溯源”为核心重构规则体系,突破传统治理边界,构建动态监测、多元参与、协同响应的韧性治理网络;重点强化预后性制度的自适应修复能力,通过弹性容错与迭代优化机制提升系统安全性;同步完善预防性制度的风险预控功能,建立基于情景模拟的应急响应框架,实现从被动应对向主动防御、从事后处置向全周期治理的范式转型。
Cross-border digital trade,as a key carrier of the digital transformation of the global economy,is facing the overall risk of cybersecurity in cross-border digital trade networks while promoting the restructuring of international trade patterns and the upgrading of value chains.Unlike risk regulation in the general sense,cybersecurity risks in cross-border digital trade networks exhibit a dual transmission pattern of"technology-data"causal chain and "data-market" diffusion chain.The vulnerability of technical architecture and the fragmentation of data governance constitute the endogenous driving forces of risk generation,while data security incidents form a multiplier effect of risk diffusion through channels such as undermining transaction trust,disrupting financial order,and damaging corporate reputation.In response to the regional dominance,static and one-dimensional defects of the existing governance system,it is necessary to build a three-in-one resilience regulation system of"dynamic monitoring-diversified integration-collaborative governance".That is,the governance logic should shift from risk control to resilience cultivation,institutional supply should shift from rigid constraints to flexible adaptation,and the governance structure should shift from government dominance to diversified collaboration.On this basis,we should follow the collaborative regulation path of"problem-oriented,institutional permanence,closedloop management,and risk prevention",reconstruct the rule system with"technology-driven and data traceability"as the core,break through traditional governance boundaries,and build a resilience governance network featuring dynamic monitoring,diverse participation,and collaborative response.We should focus on strengthening the adaptive repair capability of prognostic systems and enhancing system security through elastic fault tolerance and iterative optimization mechanisms.Simultaneously,we should improve the risk pre-control function of preventive systems,establish an emergency response framework based on scenario simulation,and achieve a paradigm shift from passive response to active defense and from post-disposal to full-cycle governance.
作者
李雪峰
黄亦宁
Li Xuefeng;Huang Yining
出处
《财经科学》
北大核心
2025年第7期91-105,共15页
Finance & Economics
关键词
跨境数字贸易
数据流动风险
传导机制
韧性规制
Cross-border Digital Trade
Data Flow Risk
Transmission Mechanism
Resilience Regulation
