摘要
区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP)的签署,是中国推行制度型开放、构建“双循环”新发展格局的重要举措,山东省作为面向日韩、辐射RCEP各国的桥头堡,有望与各成员之间形成更加密切的区域产业链合作关系。文章基于2010—2023年山东省与14个经济体的国别和行业数据,分析了RCEP对山东省产业链升级的影响,研究结果显示:RCEP的签订显著促进了山东省产业链升级,且促进作用会随着协议生效的国家或地区增加而提高。异质性分析发现:签订RCEP的发展中国家或地区和需求属性以技术密集型产品为主的国家或地区,对山东省产业链升级的促进作用更为显著。机制分析表明:双边贸易规模增长是促进山东省产业链升级的重要推力,贸易便利化水平提升是促进山东省产业链升级的重要拉力,创新水平提高是推动山东省产业链升级的重要动力。研究从构建新发展格局的视角,为山东省以RCEP推动产业链升级提供了现实依据,为山东省深化RCEP制度创新提供了政策启示。
The signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)Agreement is an important measure for China to promote institutional opening-up,and is also a significant step in building a new development pattern featuring dual circulation.Shandong Province,with its geographical location close to Japan and South Korea,is expected to become a key gateway for strengthening the regional industrial chain cooperation among the member countries of the RCEP.Based on the industry data of Shandong Province and 14 other economies from 2010 to 2023,this article analyzes the impact of RCEP on the upgrading of industrial chains in Shandong Province.The research findings indicate that RCEP has significantly promoted the upgrading of industrial chains in Shandong Province,and the promoting effect has increased as the number of countries or regions where the agreement takes effect increases.The heterogeneity analysis reveals that the developing countries and regions where the agreement takes effect,as well as those mainly focusing on technology-intensive products,have a more significant promoting effect on the upgrading of industrial chains in Shandong Province.Mechanism analysis indicates that the expansion of bilateral trade scale,the enhancement of trade facilitation level,and the improvement of innovation level can all promote the upgrading of industrial chains in Shandong Province.This research provides a practical basis for Shandong Province to promote the upgrading of its industrial chains through RCEP,and offers policy implications for Shandong Provinceto deepen the institutional innovation of RCEP based on the perspective of constructing a new development pattern.
作者
秦晓钰
张暖暖
曲越
QIN Xiaoyu;ZHANG Nuannuan;QU Yue(College of Economics and Management,Shandong University of Science and Technology,Qingdao,Shandong 266590,China)
出处
《山东科技大学学报(社会科学版)》
2025年第4期93-103,共11页
Journal of Shandong University of Science and Technology(Social Sciences)
基金
山东省社会科学规划研究项目(23CJJJ28)。
关键词
双循环新发展格局
RCEP
产业链升级
a new development pattern featuring dual circulation
RCEP
upgrading of industrial chains
