摘要
引导以农为辅农户交回承包地,是缓解人地矛盾、实现土地资源合理配置、促进农业现代化的必然路径。结合四川省、湖北省和重庆市820位农户调查数据,依据推拉理论,构建起包括推力因素、拉力因素及农户个体因素在内的农户交回承包地意愿影响因素分析框架。运用多元Logistic回归模型分析农户交回承包地意愿影响因素,研究发现以农为辅农户交回承包地的意愿较低。在推力因素中,家庭稳定就业人口比例越高农户越愿意交回承包地,拥有城市商品房的农户更愿意交回承包地,家庭人均承包地面积越大农户越不愿意交回承包地。在拉力因素中,农户对“在土地确权登记颁证后,承包地可以由继承人继承”这一观点越认同越愿意交回承包地,国家对每亩地给予的补贴越高农户越不愿意交回承包地,村庄(社区)离县(市、区)距离越近越不愿意交回承包地。在个体因素中,年龄与愿意交回承包地呈正相关,受教育年限与愿意交回承包地呈正相关,相较于男性,女性更倾向于交回承包地,在婚姻状态内的农户更不愿意交回承包地。据此,应优化就业与住房政策,防范生计风险;完善继承与退出机制,统筹各方利益。
Encouraging part-time farming households to voluntarily return their contracted land is a necessary step toward alleviating land-use tensions,promoting the rational allocation of land resources,and advancing agricultural modernization.Based on survey data from 820 rural households in Sichuan Province,Hubei Province,and Chongqing Municipality,this study constructs an analytical framework for the factors influencing households’willingness to return contracted land,grounded in push-pull theory.The framework encompasses push factors,pull factors,and individual household characteristics.Using a multivariate logistic regression model,the study finds that part-time farming households show relatively low willingness to return contracted land.Among the push factors,a higher proportion of household members with stable employment increases the likelihood of returning land;households owning commercial housing located in urban areas are more willing to return land,whereas a larger per capita area of contracted land reduces such willingness.Among the pull factors,stronger agreement with the view that“contracted land can be inherited after certification and registration”is associated with greater willingness to return land.In contrast,higher government subsidies per mu and shorter distances between the village(or community)and the county(or city/district)reduce willingness.As for individual characteristics,both age and years of education are positively associated with the willingness to return land.Compared to men,women are more likely to return land,while married individuals are less inclined to do so.These findings suggest that policy efforts should focus on optimizing employment and housing conditions to mitigate livelihood risks,while also improving inheritance and land exit mechanisms to balance the interests of all stakeholders.
作者
刘灵辉
王天一
王芊怡
LIU Linghui;WANG Tianyi;WANG Qianyi(School of Public Administration,University of Electronic Science and Technology of China,Chengdu 611731,Sichuan,China)
出处
《国土资源科技管理》
2025年第4期48-58,共11页
Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources
基金
国家社科基金一般项目(20BGL228)
四川省哲学社会科学基金重点项目(SCJJ23ND44)。
关键词
农户承包地交回意愿
土地承包经营权
推拉理论
多元Logistic回归模型
farmers contract land return willingness
land contract management rights
push and pull theory
multiple logistic regression model
