低碳城市建设促进新质生产力发展的效应与机制研究——基于低碳城市试点政策的准自然实验

Study on the Effects and Mechanisms of Low-carbon City Construction to Promote the Development of New Quality Productivity——Quasi-natural Experiments Based on Pilot Policies for Low-carbon Cities

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摘要本文以全国263个地级及以上城市为研究样本,基于低碳城市试点政策的准自然实验,采用多期双重差分模型识别低碳城市建设促进新质生产力发展的效应,并进一步分析了其内在机制和空间效应。结果表明:(1)低碳城市建设能够显著促进新质生产力的发展,并通过一系列稳健性检验验证了该结论的可靠性;(2)低碳城市建设促进新质生产力发展的效应存在城市区位、资源禀赋和碳排放强度的异质性,其中,低碳城市建设可以显著促进东、西部地区城市、非资源型城市和高碳排放城市的新质生产力发展;(3)低碳城市建设能够通过推动绿色技术创新、提升产业集聚水平和提高绿色金融发展水平三条路径促进新质生产力发展,并且财政分权在低碳城市建设促进新质生产力发展中具有显著的正向调节作用;(4)低碳城市建设对新质生产力发展具有明显的空间溢出效应,对试点城市和周边城市的新质生产力发展均具有显著的促进效应。本研究结论为加强低碳城市建设和拓宽城市新质生产力发展路径提供了方向指引。 Based on the quasi-natural experiment of the“Low Carbon City Pilot”policy,this study identifies the effect of low-carbon city construction on the development of new quality productivity by using the multistage dynamic difference-in-differences model with a sample of 263 prefectural-level and above cities in China,and further analyzes its intrinsic mechanism and spatial effect.The results show that:(1)low-carbon city construction can significantly promote the development of new quality productivity,and the reliability of this conclusion is verified by a series of robustness tests.(2)There is heterogeneity in the effects of low-carbon city construction on the development of new quality productivity in terms of city location,resource endowment and carbon emission intensity,in which low-carbon city construction can significantly promote the development of new quality productivity in cities in the east and west,non-resource cities and high-carbon emission cities.(3)Low-carbon city construction can promote the development of new quality productivity through three paths:promoting green technological innovation,enhancing the level of industrial agglomeration,and improving the development level of green finance,and fiscal decentralization has a significant positive moderating effect in promoting the development of new quality productivity in low-carbon city construction.(4)Low-carbon city construction has obvious spatial spillover effects on the development of new quality productivity,and it has significant promotion effects on the development of new quality productivity in pilot cities and neighboring cities.The conclusions of this study provide guidance for strengthening the construction of low-carbon cities and broadening the path of urban new quality productivity development.

作者张明斗张子钰王传超 Zhang Mingdou;Zhang Ziyu;Wang Chuanchao(School of Economics,Dongbei University of Finance and Economics,Dalian 116025,China;School of Finance and Trade,Wenzhou Business College,Wenzhou 325035,China)

机构地区东北财经大学经济学院温州商学院金融贸易学院

出处《工业技术经济》北大核心 2025年第9期13-23,共11页 Journal of Industrial Technology and Economy

基金辽宁省社会科学规划基金重点建设学科项目“‘双碳’目标下辽宁城市生态韧性的驱动因素及提升路径研究”(项目编号:L24ZD029)。

关键词新质生产力低碳城市建设绿色技术创新产业集聚绿色金融城市区位资源禀赋碳排放强度 new quality productivity low-carbon city construction green technology innovation industrial agglomera⁃tion green finance city location resource endowment carbon emission intensity