摘要
本文基于 “一带一路” 倡议实施背景,系统剖析新疆进出口贸易与区域经济增长的动态关联机制。研究显示,2013—2023 年间,新疆经济保持稳步增长态势,产业结构持续优化升级;进出口贸易呈现出口主导格局,贸易顺差规模不断扩大,但进口对经济的拉动效应相对偏弱。区域异质性分析表明,和田、喀什等南疆沿边地区依托独特区位优势与政策赋能,外贸活动对新疆 GDP 增长的贡献尤为突出。然而,新疆外贸占全国的比重总体呈下降趋势,折射出其贸易竞争力及政策红利利用效率尚存较大提升潜力。据此,本文建议通过优化贸易结构、强化区域协同及深化国际产业链合作,助力新疆外向型经济实现高质量发展。
Based on the background of the Belt and Road Initiative,this study analyzes the dynamic relationship between Xinjiang's import-export trade and regional economic growth.The study reveals that from 2013 to 2023,Xinjiang's economy demonstrated sustained growth accompanied by progressive optimization of its industrial structure,export-dominant import-export trade and a persistent expansion of trade surplus,while the imports exhibited constrained contributions to economic expansion.Regional heterogeneity analysis shows that Hotan,Kashgar,and other southern Xinjiang border areas have made significant contributions to Xinjiang's GDP growth through import and export trade activities due to their locational advantages and policy support.However,Xinjiang's import and export trade has generally declined as a proportion of the country's total,refl ecting that trade competitiveness and the effi ciency of utilizing policy dividends still have signifi cant room for enhancement.In this regard,it is suggested that China should promote the high-quality development of Xinjiang's export-oriented economy by optimizing the trade structure,strengthening regional collaboration,and deepening international industrial chain cooperation.
作者
杨潇
陈诗雅
祝祚祺
夏李天涯
邝珈莹
Yang Xiao;Chen Shiya;Zhu Zuoqi;Xia Litianya;Kuang Jiaying(School of Business Administration and Customs Aff airs,Shanghai Customs University,Shanghai 201204)
出处
《中国商论》
2025年第15期77-80,共4页
China Journal of Commerce
基金
上海海关学院大学生创新创业训练计划项目“‘一带一路’背景下新疆进出口贸易对经济增长的影响研究”(S202410274035)
上海海关学院大学生创新创业训练计划项目经费支持。
关键词
“一带一路”倡议
新疆
回归分析
经济增长
进出口贸易
Belt and Road Initiative
Xinjiang
regression analysis
economic growth
import and export trade
