摘要
为探究铁路事故成因与事故路径,本研究运用模糊集定性比较分析(fsQCA)方法,系统性探讨了铁路事故的成因与路径。通过对多因素组态的分析,研究发现铁路事故的主要驱动因素可以归纳为技术故障和人为操作失误。根据事故类型,将其划分为技术故障主导型、人为操作失误主导型和混合型事故三种类别。各类事故均呈现出复杂的多因素交互特征,且在不同事故组态中表现出差异性的影响路径。研究成果为铁路安全管理策略的优化提供了新的视角,并为进一步研究提供了数据支持和方法参考。
In order to explore the causes and paths of railway accidents,this study uses the fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis(fsQCA)method to systematically investigate the causes and paths of railway accidents.Through the analysis of multiple factor configurations,it was found that the main driving factors of railway accidents can be summarized as technical failures and human operational errors.According to the type of accident,it can be divided into three categories:technical failure dominant,human error dominant,and mixed type accidents.All types of accidents exhibit complex multi factor interaction characteristics,and exhibit heterogeneous impact paths in different accident configurations.The research findings provide a new perspective for optimizing railway safety management strategies and offer data support and methodological references for further research.
作者
任轶华
李金澄
REN Yihua;LI Jincheng(Xi'an Railway Bureau,Xi'an 710054,China)
出处
《综合运输》
2025年第7期102-105,共4页
China Transportation Review
关键词
铁路事故
模糊集定性比较分析
条件组态
布尔代数
Highway accidents
Fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis
Conditional configuration
Boolean algebra
