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教育财政分权对中国教育代际流动的影响研究

The Impact of Fiscal Decentralization in Education on Intergenerational Mobility of Education in China
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摘要 基于2010—2022年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,采用Probit模型分析了政府间教育支出责任分担对居民教育代际向上流动的影响。研究发现,中央与地方教育财政分权通过扩大教育支出规模、优化支出结构显著促进教育代际向上流动,但支出责任过度下沉则会导致支出规模下降与支出均衡性恶化,从而降低了向上流动的概率;中央和省级转移支付通过增加支出规模、改善均衡性及优化支出结构,显著提升了教育代际向上流动的可能性。进一步分析发现,政府教育努力程度的提升可以强化教育财政分权的优势,提升转移支付对教育代际向上流动的影响。 Based on data from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)spanning 2010 to 2022 this study employs a Probit model to analyze the impact of intergovernmental sharing of education expenditure responsibilities on intergenerational educational upward mobility.The findings reveal that central-local fiscal decentralization in education significantly promotes intergenerational educational upward mobility by expanding education expenditure scale and optimizing expenditure structure.However excessive decentralization of expenditure responsibilities to lower-level governments reduces expenditure scale and worsens expenditure equity thereby lowering the probability of upward mobility.Both central and provincial transfer payments significantly enhance intergenerational educational upward mobility by increasing expenditure scale improving equity and optimizing expenditure structure.Further analysis reveals that enhancing governmental educational effort strengthens the advantages of fiscal decentralization in education and amplifies the positive effects of transfer payments on intergenerational mobility.
作者 叶文辉 周静 YE Wen-hui;ZHOU Jing(School of Economics,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,China)
出处 《经济问题》 北大核心 2025年第8期76-85,共10页 On Economic Problems
关键词 财政分权 转移支付 教育代际流动 人力资本 政府教育努力 fiscal decentralization fiscal transfer payments educational intergenerational mobility human capital governmental educational effort
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