摘要
现代乡村产业发展面临不确定不稳定因素日益增多,提高乡村产业韧性水平对确保国家农业产业链供应链安全具有重要意义。文章基于2022年我国31个省(区、市)的乡村产业基础数据,以程序化扎根理论方法建立了测度指标体系,利用改进物元评价法测算了不同经济区域及省份的乡村产业韧性水平,并根据指标障碍度分析了制约乡村产业韧性的主要因素指标。研究结果表明,乡村产业韧性测度指标体系包括产业经济效益、产业现代化水平、资源整合能力、风险抵抗能力4个韧性影响因素,其下包含14个韧性因素指标;东部、中部、西部、东北4大区域的乡村产业韧性等级依次递减;全国有5个省份韧性表现为优秀,10个省份表现为良好,其余省份韧性表现为一般;品牌化建设、产业机械化、产业融合水平、农业保险、绿色低碳治理等5个因素指标的障碍度较高,严重制约了乡村产业韧性测度得分。因此,提升乡村产业韧性的关键是加强主要制约指标建设。
The development of modern rural industries in China is increasingly challenged by a range of uncertain and unstable factors.Enhancing the resilience of rural industries is therefore vital to ensuring the security of the agro-industrial chain and supply chain security in China.This study draws on basic rural industry data from 31 provinces(including autonomous regions and municipalities)in China for the year 2022.Using a programmatic grounded theory approach,the study constructs a comprehensive resilience evaluation index system.An improved matter-element evaluation method is then applied to assess the resilience levels of rural industries across different economic regions and provinces.Based on obstacle degree analysis,the key factors limiting rural industry resilience are identified.The results show that the resilience index system comprises four main dimensions:industrial economic performance,level of industrial moderniza-tion,resource integration capacity,and risk resistance capability,encompassing a total of 14 specific indicators.In terms of regional performance,rural industry resilience decreases in the order of eastern,central,western,and northeastern China.Among all provinces,five demonstrate high resilience,ten show moderate resilience,and the remaining provinces perform at an average level.Further analysis reveals that five indicators−brand development,mechanization,industrial integration,agricultural insurance,and green low-carbon governance−present significant obstacles that hinder resilience improvement.Therefore,strengthening these key constraint areas is therefore essential for boosting the overall resilience of rural indus-tries.
作者
张德海
张信冬
赵小波
Zhang Dehai;Zhang Xindong;Zhao Xiaobo(School of Management Science and Engineering,Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing 400067,China)
出处
《西部经济管理论坛》
2025年第4期1-11,24,共12页
West Forum on Economy and Management
基金
国家社会科学基金西部项目“‘政企村农’共建西部乡村产业的行为偏差及协同治理研究”(24XGL032),国家社会科学基金一般项目“乡村振兴战略下现代农业服务供应链协同机制研究”(18BGL017)。
关键词
乡村产业
韧性测度
扎根理论
物元评价法
障碍度
rural industry
resilience measurement
grounded theory
matter-element evaluation method
obstacle degree
