摘要
主动段拦截是多层反导防御体系中的第一道屏障,高精度的弹道导弹目标跟踪与预报是主动段拦截成功的重要前提和基础。主动段跟踪与预报的主要目的是输出目标导弹在当前及未来时刻的运动状态估计值和相关弹道参数。从弹道导弹目标主动段实时跟踪与轨迹预报两方面对国内外研究现状及发展动态进行了综述。回顾了主动段跟踪中涉及的主动段运动建模和状态估计方法;将弹道导弹轨迹预报归纳为轨道解析、数值积分和函数逼近3类方法,并对各类方法的特点进行了分析;总结并展望了该领域的技术发展方向。
Boost-phase interception is the first barrier in a multi-layer anti-missile defense system.High precision ballistic missile tracking and prediction are important prerequisites and foundations for successful boost-phase interception.The main purpose of boost-phase tracking and prediction is to output the estimated motion state values and related ballistic parameters of the target missile in the current and future time.The research status and development trends of ballistic missiles are reviewed from two aspects of boost-phase real-time tracking and trajectory prediction.Firstly,the boost-phase motion modeling and state estimation methods involved in boost-phase tracking are reviewed.Then,the trajectory prediction of ballistic missiles is summarized and classified into three categories of methods:orbital analysis,numerical integration,and function approximation,and the characteristics of each category of method are analyzed.Finally,the development direction of technology in this field is summarized and prospected.
作者
吉瑞萍
梁彦
JI Ruiping;LIANG Yan(College of Electrical and Control Engineering,Xi'an University of Science and Technology,Xi'an 710054,China;School of Automation,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi'an 710072,China)
出处
《火力与指挥控制》
北大核心
2025年第6期1-12,共12页
Fire Control & Command Control
基金
陕西省自然科学基础研究计划(2025JCYBQN-903)。
关键词
弹道导弹
主动段防御
目标跟踪
轨迹预报
ballistic missiles
boost-phase defense
target tracking
trajectory prediction
