摘要
基于2000—2020年中国城市面板数据,系统分析劳动力老化对经济增长的影响以及数字技术在其中的作用。研究发现,劳动力老化对经济增长具有显著的抑制作用,且经过系列检验后依然稳健。异质性分析表明,劳动力老化的负面冲击在经济发展水平较低的地区和三线及以下城市表现更为明显。机制检验表明,数字技术发展通过“技术替代”与“补偿赋能”能有效缓解劳动力老化的负面影响。本研究揭示劳动力老化对经济增长的影响以及数字技术在其中的关键作用,为利用数字技术优化劳动力老化问题提供理论支持与政策参考。
Based on Chinese urban panel data from 2000 to 2020,this study systematically analyzes the impact of labor force aging on economic growth and the role of digital technology therein.The findings indicate that labor force aging has a significant inhibitory effect on economic growth,and this conclusion remains robust after a series of validation tests.Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the negative impact of labor force aging is more pronounced in regions with lower levels of economic development and in third-tier and below cities.Mechanism analysis demonstrates that the development of digital technology can effectively mitigate the adverse effects of labor force aging through"technology substitution"and"compensatory empowerment."This research sheds light on the impact of labor force aging on economic growth,and the crucial role of digital technology,providing theoretical support and policy references for leveraging digital technology to address the challenges posed by the labor force aging.
作者
童玉芬
刘志丽
TONG Yufen;LIU Zhili(School of Labor Economics,Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing 100070,China;School of Business Administration,Hebei University of Economics and Business,Shijiazhuang 050061,China)
出处
《广东财经大学学报》
北大核心
2025年第3期70-81,共12页
Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(24ARK001)。
关键词
劳动力老化
数字技术
经济增长
labor force aging
digital technology
economic growth
