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社会信用体系建设与全国统一大市场建设——基于社会信用体系改革试点的准自然实验

Construction of Social Credit System and Construction of National Unified Large Market——A Quasi-natural Experiment Based on the Pilot Reform of Social Credit System
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摘要 全国统一大市场建设是构建新发展格局的关键举措。本文以社会信用体系建设示范城市创建政策作为准自然实验,基于2010—2022年全国264个地级市的面板数据,运用渐进双重差分模型考察社会信用体系建设对全国统一大市场建设的影响及作用机制。研究发现:社会信用体系建设对全国统一大市场建设具有显著的促进作用;社会信用体系建设通过推进数字化转型和企业专业化分工促进全国统一大市场建设;异质性分析表明,该政策效应在东部地区、人口规模较大、数字经济发展水平较高以及法治环境较好的城市中更为显著。进一步分析表明,社会信用体系建设对全国统一大市场建设存在长期效应,且经济后果分析表明,全国统一大市场建设有利于缩小城乡收入差距。此外,空间回归结果表明,社会信用体系建设对全国统一大市场建设具有直接效应,不具有间接效应。 The construction of a national unified market is a key measure to build a new development pattern.This paper takes the policy of creating social credit system construction demonstration cities as a quasi-natural experiment and uses panel data from 264 prefecture-level cities from 2010 to 2022 to examine the impact of social credit system construction on the construction of a national unified market and its mechanism through a sequential double-difference model.The study finds that:First,social credit system construction has a significant promoting effect on the construction of a national unified market,which remains valid after a series of robustness tests.Second,social credit system construction promotes the construction of a national unified market by pushing forward digital transformation and enterprise specialization and division of labor.Third,the heterogeneity analysis shows that the policy effect of social credit system construction is more obvious in eastern regions,cities with larger population size,cities with higher level of digital economic development,and cities with better legal environment.Fourth,further analysis shows that social credit system construction has a long-term effect on the construction of a national unified market,and the economic consequences analysis shows that the construction of a national unified market is conducive to narrowing the urban-rural income gap.In addition,the spatial regression results show that social credit system construction has a direct effect on the construction of a national unified market and does not have an indirect effect.
作者 周十同 王晓丹 ZHOU Shitong;WANG Xiaodan(Northeast Normal University,Business School,Changchun 130117,China)
出处 《哈尔滨商业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2025年第3期16-31,共16页 Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition
基金 国家社会科学基金项目“乡村振兴背景下城乡收入差距的空间异质性研究”(20BJL146)。
关键词 社会信用体系 全国统一大市场 市场一体化 social credit system national unified market market integration
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