摘要
运用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,实证分析种植方式对居民生育意愿的影响及机制。研究发现,相较于小麦种植区,水稻种植区居民拥有更强烈的生育意愿。异质性分析表明,水稻种植方式对女性、有工作(就业)群体生育意愿的提升效应更强。调节效应分析表明,人均家庭纯收入、父亲受教育水平和家庭规模在二者关系中均呈现出显著正向调节作用。机制分析表明,水稻种植方式能够通过增加社会资本和强化宗族文化进而提高居民的生育意愿。
Using data from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS),this study empirically analyzed the impact of agricultural planting methods on residents'fertility intentions and its underlying mechanisms.The results showed that residents in rice growing areas exhibited higher fertility intentions than those in wheat growing areas.Heterogeneity analysis revealed that the fertilityenhancing effect of rice cultivation was more pronounced among women and employed groups.The analysis of moderating effects demonstrated that per capita household net income,paternal education level,and family size exhibited significant positive moderating effects on this relationship.Further mechanism analysis indicated that rice-farming practices might boost fertility intentions by fostering social capital and strengthening clan culture.
作者
沈捷
张冰涛
毛桂蓉
SHEN Jie;ZHANG Bing-tao;MAO Gui-rong(WeBank Institute of FinTech,Shenzhen University,Shenzhen 518060;China Center for Special Ecomonic Zone Research,Shenzhen University,Shenzhen 518060;Business School,Shandong University,Weihai 264209,China)
出处
《山西财经大学学报》
北大核心
2025年第6期40-53,共14页
Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(72362002)
广东省自然科学基金项目(2024A1515012711)
深圳大学人文社会科学高层次团队项目——领军学者创新团队项目(24LJXZ05)。
关键词
生育意愿
农业种植方式
水稻种植
小麦种植
社会资本
宗族文化
“水稻理论”
人口发展
fertility intention
agricultural cultivation methods
rice farming
wheat farming
social capital
clan culture
“rice theory"
population development
