摘要
从冷战结束至2020年近30年间,中国台湾地区民众统“独”立场可以分为统一立场、“维持现状”立场、“台独”立场、无反应立场四种类型,它们在“交织期”“平行期”“离散期”三个阶段的比值变化均受到双层多元权力结构的影响。其中,统一立场与“台独”立场这一组镜面对称比值,主要受到国家硬权力结构与国际硬权力结构二者的影响;“维持现状”立场与无反应立场这一组镜面对称比值,主要受到国家软权力结构、国际硬权力结构与国际软权力结构三者的影响。鉴于国家权力结构特别是国家硬权力结构的关键作用,牢牢把握两岸关系特别是两岸政治关系的主导权,进一步掌握实现祖国完全统一的战略主动,是中国内地对台政策的重要战略选择。
From the end of the Cold War to 2020—a span of nearly 30 years—the stances of the Taiwan residents,China regarding unification and“independence”can be categorized into four types:pro-unification,“maintaining the status quo”,pro-“Taiwan independence”,and non-response.The distribution of these stances evolved over three distinct phases—“interweaving”,“parallel”,and“discrete”—each shaped by the Two-Level Pluralistic Power Structure(PS).The mirror-image shifts between unification and“Taiwan independence”reflect the dynamics of both National Hard PS and International Hard PS.Meanwhile,the mirror-image transitions between“maintaining the status quo”and non-response are shaped by National Soft PS,International Hard PS,and International Soft PS.Given the central influence of National PS,particularly National Hard PS,sustaining strategic control and initiative in cross-Strait relations—especially political relations—remains a critical priority for the Chinese mainland in its pursuit of complete national unification.
出处
《台湾研究集刊》
2025年第3期48-68,共21页
Taiwan Research Journal
基金
2020年度教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目“区域治理结构视阈下的有关整合问题研究”(20YJAGJW003)。
关键词
两岸关系
双层多元权力结构
中国台湾地区民众统“独”立场
国家统一
cross-Strait relations
Two-level Pluralistic Power Structure
unification and“independence”stances of Taiwan residents,China
national unification
