摘要
在城镇化扩展、农业发展转型、生态文明建设稳步推进的多重背景下,识别及测度“三生”交错空间土地利用冲突对于国土空间协调发展至关重要。本研究整合“三生”功能表征和多情景模拟两种潜在土地利用冲突识别方法,引入生态风险理论,构建了基于情景模拟-潜在冲突识别-潜在冲突测度的研究框架,识别并测度2030年西安市长安区3种情景下的潜在土地利用冲突。结果表明:2030年,长安区生态底线情景下土地利用变化幅度最小,区域生态安全水平较为稳定,潜在土地利用冲突面积最小,为198.91 km^(2);长安区3种情景下的生活-生态冲突面积均远大于生产-生态冲突面积;长安区综合潜在土地利用冲突总面积为332.93 km^(2),其中,严重冲突村集中在秦岭浅山区、沣河及潏河流域,涉及35个村庄。
Under the backgrounds of urbanization expansion,agricultural development transformation,and the steady advancement of ecological civilization construction,identifying and measuring land use conflicts in production-living-ecological overlapping spaces is crucial for the coordinated development of national land space.We integrated two potential land use conflicts identification methods:production-living-ecological functional characterization and multi-scenario simulation,incorporated ecological risk theory to develop a research framework based on scenario simulation-potential conflicts identification-potential conflicts measurement.We identified and measured potential land use conflicts in three scenarios for Chang’an District of Xi’an in 2030.The results showed that under the ecological bottom-line scenario,Chang’an District experienced the least land use change in 2030,maintaining a relatively stable regional ecological security level,with the smallest potential land use conflicts area of 198.91 km^(2).Across the three scenarios,the area of living-ecological conflicts was significantly larger than that of production-ecological conflicts.The total area of comprehensive potential land use conflicts in Chang’an District was 332.93 km^(2),with severe conflicts concentrated in the Qinling Mountains’foothills,as well as the Fenghe and Juehe River basins,involving 35 villages.
作者
董清榕
赵若男
王蓓
姚龙杰
朱宗斌
戴雯菁
岳邦瑞
DONG Qingrong;ZHAO Ruonan;WANG Pei;YAO Longjie;ZHU Zongbin;DAI Wenjing;YUE Bangrui(School of Architecture,Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology,Xi'an 710055,China;Xi'an Aide Space Design Institution Co.,Ltd.,Xi'an 710000,China;National Key Laboratory of Green Building,Xi'an 710055,China)
出处
《应用生态学报》
北大核心
2025年第5期1487-1495,共9页
Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(51578437)
教育部人文社科项目(24YJAZH209)
西安市社会科学规划基金项目(24QL29)
西安建筑科技大学研究生教材建设项目(ALJS202402)资助。
关键词
潜在土地利用冲突
多情景模拟
三生空间
西安市长安区
potential land use conflict
multi-scenario simulation
production-living-ecological space
Chang’an District
Xi’an City
