摘要
构建数字新基建与旅游经济韧性评价指标体系,运用耦合协调度模型、核密度估计、Dagum基尼系数、空间马尔科夫链等方法探讨2012—2022年我国30个省份数字新基建与旅游经济韧性耦合协调的时空演化特征。结果表明:耦合协调度呈波动上升发展趋势,高水平主要集中在东部地区、低水平主要集中在西部地区,区域内差异呈现“西部地区>东部地区>中部地区”的空间分布特征,区域间差异是总体差异的主要来源。耦合协调度存在明显的极化和右拖尾现象,个别省份处于领先地位,东部、中部地区内绝对差异呈缩小趋势,西部地区内绝对差异呈扩大趋势,并且具有较强的稳定性,存在俱乐部趋同效应,转移概率受滞后类型以及初始等级的影响。
Construct an evaluation index system for the resilience of digital new infrastructure and tourism economy,and use methods such as coupling coordination degree model,kernel density estimation,Dagum Gini coefficient,and spatial Markov chain to explore the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the coupling and coordination of digital new infrastructure and tourism economy resilience in 30 provinces of China from 2012 to 2022.The results show that:The coupling coordination degree shows a fluctuating upward development trend.The high level is mainly concentrated in the eastern region,and the low level is mainly concentrated in the western region.The differences within the region present a spatial distribution characteristic of"western>eastern>central",and the differences between regions are the main source of the overall differences.There are obvious polarization and right tailing phenomena in the coupling coordination degree.Some provinces are in the leading position.The absolute differences within the eastern and central regions show a narrowing trend,while those within the western region show an expanding trend,and it has strong stability.There is a club convergence effect,and the transfer probability is affected by the lag type and the initial level.
作者
王佩佩
克甝
WANG Peipei;KE Han(School of Information Management,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi Xinjiang 830012,China;School of Statistics and Data Science,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi Xinjiang 830012,China)
出处
《技术经济与管理研究》
北大核心
2025年第6期54-60,共7页
Journal of Technical Economics & Management
基金
国家社会科学基金西部项目(23XMZ060)
党的治疆方略理论与实践研究课题(2024ZJFLD06)
新疆财经大学科研基金项目(2024XGC029)。
关键词
数字新基建
旅游经济韧性
耦合协调
区域差异
动态演进
Digital new infrastructure
Resilience of tourism economy
Coupling coordination
Regional differences
Dynamic evolution
