摘要
基于IPCC清单,本文结合区域物流行业实际情况设计计算方法来测算浙江省物流业碳排放规模,探究浙江省物流业能源消耗的结构和趋势;并利用LMDI因子分解法从结构效应、强度效应、产出效应、经济发展效应和人口效应等方面,对浙江省物流业碳排放的影响因素进行分解分析,测度不同影响因素对碳排放增长的驱动效应。结果表明:能源结构效应、能源强度效应、物流产出效应对二氧化碳排放起到了抑制作用,经济发展和人口效应促进了二氧化碳排放增长,且经济发展对二氧化碳排放的影响最大。文后,根据影响因素分析提出浙江省物流业低碳发展提出相关建议。
Based on the Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories,this paper develops a calculation approach that integrates the realities of the regional logistics industry to estimate the scale of carbon emissions from the logistics sector in Zhejiang Province,examining the structure and trends of energy consumption within this sector.By employing the LMDI factor decomposition method,this study analyzes the factors affecting carbon emissions from logistics industry in Zhejiang Province,considering aspects such as structural effect,intensity effect,output effect,economic development,and population effect,and measures the driving impacts of these factors on carbon emission growth.The findings reveal that the energy structure effect,energy intensity effect,and logistics output effect serve to reduce CO_(2)emissions,whereas the economic development effect stimulates an increase in CO_(2)emissions,exerting the most substantial influence.Ultimately,based on the analysis of these influencing factors,pertinent recommendations are provided for promoting low-carbon development within Zhejiang Province's logistics industry.
作者
吴定鑫
秦华容
WU Dingxin;QIN Huarong(Ningbo University of Technology,315211,Ningbo,Zhejiang,China)
出处
《特区经济》
2025年第5期97-100,共4页
Special Zone Economy
基金
浙江省大学生科技创新活动计划暨新苗人才计划项目(2023R482011)
国家级大学生创新创业训练计划(202311058001)。
关键词
物流业
碳排放规模
因素分解
低碳发展
Logistics Industry
Carbon Emission
Factor Decomposition
Low-Carbon Development
