摘要
【目的】在中国脱贫攻坚战取得全面胜利后,巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果、防止返贫成为推进乡村振兴的重要任务,本研究聚焦国内返贫风险与预警机制,旨在为防返贫策略提供理论与实践支撑,助力乡村振兴战略的深入实施。【方法】以中国知网1992-2023年收录的中文核心期刊相关论文为样本,运用CiteSpace软件,从多维度展开深度剖析,通过可视化分析,揭示返贫风险与预警机制领域的研究热点和发展趋势。【结果】1992-2023年,在返贫风险与预警机制研究领域,论文发表数量呈现出明显的上升趋势。相关研究经历了基于扶贫开发的发展风险分析、精准扶贫背景下的风险治理以及数据驱动下的长效机制构建三个发展阶段,已形成了多个以返贫风险、乡村振兴、扶贫开发、脆弱性等为核心主题的研究类别,研究的热点主要集中在扶贫开发、精准扶贫、长效机制、因灾返贫等方面。然而,学者之间的合作网络相对薄弱,尚未形成紧密的学术共同体。【结论】基于多角度对返贫风险与预警研究所得到的结果,有关研究的热点与政策导向高度契合,关键词从早期“扶贫开发”“城乡比较”逐步转向“长效机制”“数字治理”,反映出学术研究从被动应对风险向主动防控的范式转型。建议深入强化4个领域方向的研究:构建分层分类的返贫预警体系以实现精准识别风险;差异化干预,设计“靶向-弹性”结合的帮扶机制;数据赋能,推动防返贫治理的数字化转型;制度创新,完善长效治理的地方实践模式。
【Objective】After the comprehensive victory of China's battle against poverty,consolidating and expanding the achievements of poverty alleviation and preventing relapse to poverty have become crucial tasks in advancing rural revitalization.This study focused on domestic poverty relapse risks and warning mechanisms,aiming to provide theoretical and practical support for prevention of poverty relapse,thereby facilitating the in-depth implementation of the rural revitalization strategy.【Method】Using core journal articles related to this topic collected by China National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI)from 1992 to 2023 as sample data,the study employed CiteSpace software to conduct an in-depth analysis from multiple dimensions.Through visual analysis,the study revealed the research hotspots and development trends in the field of poverty relapse risks and warning mechanisms.【Result】From 1992 to 2023,in the field of research on poverty relapse risks and mechanisms,the number of published papers has clearly shown an increase trend.The research has gone through three developmental stages:development risk analysis based on po verty alleviation and development campaign,risk governance under the targeted poverty alleviation framework,and the building of long-term mechanisms driven by data.The research has formed multiple clusters with core themes such as poverty relapse risks,rural revitalization,poverty alleviation and development campaign,and vulnerability.The research hotspots are mainly concentrated on poverty alleviation and development campaign,targeted poverty alleviation,long-term mechanisms,and poverty relapse due to disasters.However,the collaboration network among scholars is weak,and a close-knit academic community has not yet been formed.【Conclusion】Based on the results of the research,the relevant research hotspots are highly consistent with the policy orientation.The key words have gradually shifted from“poverty alleviation and development”and“urban rural comparison”at the early stage to“long-term mechanism”and“digital governance”at present,which reflect the transformation of academic research from passive response to risk to active prevention and control.It is suggested that to further strengthen the research in the following four fields:to realize accurate identification of poverty relapse risk by establishing a hierarchical and classified warning system,to implement differentiated interventions to create a“targeted-flexible”assistance mechanism,to leverage data empowerment to drive the digital transformation of poverty prevention governance,and to foster institutional innovation to refine the local long-term governance practices.
作者
吴帅
王海洋
章昌平
WU Shuai;WANG HaiYang;ZHANG ChangPing(School of Public Administration,Guilin University of Technology,Guilin,Guangxi 541004,China)
出处
《农业研究与应用》
2025年第1期87-96,共10页
Agricultural Research and Application
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究项目“乡村振兴战略引领下的滇桂黔石漠化片区脱贫人口返贫阻断机制研究”(20YJC850018)。
关键词
乡村振兴
返贫风险
返贫预警机制
CITESPACE
Rural revitalization
poverty relapse risks
warning mechanisms for poverty relapse
CiteSpace
