摘要
【目的】柿子(Diospyroskaki Thunb.)是一种浆果类水果,具有较高的经济价值和药用价值,广西的柿子种植面积和产量均居全国首位。本研究探讨广西柿子产业的发展现状及影响因素,在此基础上提出对策建议,为广西柿子产业的可持续发展提供相关参考。【方法】在运用SWOT方法分析影响广西柿子产业发展的内外部因素的基础上,应用层次分析法(AHP)对影响广西柿子产业的因素进行量化,以SWOT确定的影响因素作为指标层构建了层次结构模型,并以此进行定性定量分析。【结果】SWOT分析结果表明,广西柿子产业发展既有优势和机遇,又有劣势和存在威胁。优势包括自然、地理区位条件优越,产业基础规模雄厚、果品质量上乘,栽培历史悠久、品牌优势良好,成熟期优势明显、市场潜力巨大;劣势包括种植结构不够合理、产品加工发展滞后、专业人才匮乏、劳动力短缺。机遇是市场需求增长、政策支持和旅游业带动,威胁是市场竞争压力大、存在产品质量安全问题和自然灾害风险。AHP量化和四象限分析结果表明,总体优势(S')、总体劣势(W')、总体机遇(O')、总体威胁(T')4个点的坐标分别为(0.1207,0)、(-0.0432,0)、(0,0.0986)、(0,-0.0306),战略重心P位于第一象限的SO开拓型战略区域,其坐标为(0.0194,0.017)。【结论】根据本研究的结果,建议广西柿子产业发展应充分利用优势和机遇,统筹规划布局,扩大生产优势;强化科技赋能,推动精深加工发展;强化产业品牌宣传,保障食品质量安全;加强交流合作,推动全产业链人才培养。
【Objective】Persimmon(Diospyros kaki Thunb.)is a berry with high economic and medicinal value.The planting area and production of persimmon in Guangxi rank first in China.This study aimed to understand the current status and influencing factors of the persimmon industry in Guangxi,and to propose countermeasure based on the analysis results to provide relevant references for the sustainable development of persimmon industry in Guangxi.【Method】Based on the SWOT analysis of internal and external factors affecting the development of the persimmon industry in Guangxi,the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)was applied to quantify these factors.Using the impact factors determined by SWOT as indicators,a hierarchical structure model was constructed,which was then used for both qualitative and quantitative analysis.【Results】The SWOT analysis indicated that the development of the persimmon industry in Guangxi has both advantages and opportunities as well as disadvantages and threats.The advantages include superior natural and geo‐graphical conditions,a solid industrial foundation,high-quality fruits,a long history of cultivation,brand advantages,significant benefits for maturity period,and enormous market potential;the disadvantages include an unreasonable planting structure,lagging product processing development,a lack of specialized talents,and labor shortages.The opportunities are growing market demand,policy support,and tourism promotion,while the threats are intense market competition,issues with product quality and safety,and risks from natural disasters.The results of AHP quantification and four-quadrant analysis showed that the coordinates of the four points of overall advantage(S'),overall disadvantage(W'),overall opportunity(O'),and overall threat(T')were(0.1207,0),(-0.0432,0),(0,0.0986),and(0,-0.0306)respectively.The strategic focus P was located in the first quadrant of SO development strategy area,whose coordinates were(0.0194,0.017).【Conclusion】According to the results of this study,it is suggested that the development of persim‐mon industry in Guangxi should make full use of advantages and opportunities,make overall plan‐ning and layout,expand production advantages;strengthen the empowerment of science and tech‐nology to promote the development of deep processing;strengthen the promotion of industrial brands to ensure food quality and safety;and strengthen exchanges and cooperation to promote the training of talents in the whole industry chain.
作者
赵青宁
黄小虎
郑凤锦
陈赶林
ZHAO QingNing;HUANG XiaoHu;ZHENG FengJin;CHEN GanLin(College of Agriculture,Guangxi University,Nanning,Guangxi 530004,China;Guangxi Subtropical Crops Research Institute,Nanning,Guangxi 530001,China;Institute of Agro-Products Processing Science and Technology,Guangxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Nanning,Guangxi 530007,China;Guangxi Key Laboratory of Quality and Safety Control for Subtropical Fruits/Key Laboratory of Quality and Safety Control for Subtropical Fruit and Vegetable,Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs,Nanning,Guangxi 530001,China)
出处
《农业研究与应用》
2025年第1期61-70,共10页
Agricultural Research and Application
基金
国家现代农业产业技术体系广西创新团队建设专项(nycytxgxcxtd-2024-17)
广西农科院基本科研业务专项(桂农科2021YT117)。
