摘要
本文以“一带一路”沿线57个国家2009-2022年的面板数据为样本,采用双固定效应模型和中介效应模型实证检验数字贸易对“一带一路”沿线国家产业结构升级的影响效应及作用机制。结果表明:数字贸易显著促进了“一带一路”沿线国家产业结构升级,替换解释变量、被解释变量以及解释变量滞后一期后依然保持稳健;其影响效应通过技术创新、人力资本高级化机制来实现;数字贸易对中低收入水平、高贸易开放度以及与中国签订自由贸易协定的国家产业结构升级的提升效果更为显著。基于此,本文提出应加强数字贸易政策沟通、强化技术溢出效应等建议,以期促进“一带一路”沿线国家产业结构升级。
Based on the panel data of 57 countries along the"the Belt and Road Initiative”(BRI)from 2009 to 2022,employing two-way fixed effects models and medi⁃ation effect models,this paper empirically tests the effect and mechanism of digital trade on industrial structure upgrading in BRI countries.The results demonstrate that:digital trade significantly promotes industrial structure upgrading in BRI countries,with find⁃ings remaining robust after replacing explanatory variables,dependent variables,and ap⁃plying one-period lagged explanatory variables;The positive effects are realized through technological innovation and human capital advancement;The upgrading effect is more pronounced in middle-income and low-income countries,those with high trade open⁃ness and free trade agreements signed with China.Based on these findings,this paper proposes some suggestions including strengthening digital trade policy coordination and amplifying technology spillover effects to accelerate industrial structure upgrading across BRI economies.
作者
庄道元
韦蒙蒙
马卫
ZHUANG Dao-yuan;WEI Meng-meng;MA Wei(Huaibei Normal University,Huaibei,Anhui 235000)
出处
《天津商务职业学院学报》
2024年第6期12-20,共9页
Journal of Tianjin College of Commerce
基金
安徽省哲学社会科学规划青年项目“‘一带一路’倡议对沿线国家减贫的影响与作用机制研究”(项目编号:AHSKQ2022D049)的阶段性研究成果
关键词
数字贸易
“一带一路”
产业结构
Digital trade
"the Belt and Road Initiative”(BRI)
Industrial Structure
