摘要
在双碳背景下,中国向“一带一路”沿线国家的出口贸易和碳排放之间的关系越来越受到人们关注。基于2011—2021年“一带一路”沿线50个国家的面板数据,以城市化水平为门槛变量来研究出口贸易对碳排放的影响。研究结果表明:城市化水平与碳排放水平之间关系呈现显著的倒“U”型形状;出口贸易对碳排放水平的影响存在单一门槛,UL≤0.831出口贸易对碳排放起到促进作用,UL>0.831出口贸易对碳排放起到约束作用。在中国当前的城市化水平阶段,向“一带一路”沿线国家出口贸易对中国的碳排放起着一定的抑制作用。同时,碳排放水平还会受到ST、RE、RD等因素的影响。
Against the backdrop of the"dual carbon"goal,the relationship between China's export trade to countries along the"Belt and Road"and carbon emissions has drawn increasing attention.Based on the panel data of 50 countries along the"Belt and Road"from 2011 to 2021,with the urbanization level as the threshold variable,this paper studies the impact of export trade on carbon emissions.The research results show that the relationship between the urbanization level and the carbon emission level presents a significant inverted"U"shape.There is a single threshold for the impact of export trade on the carbon emission level.When UL≤0.831,export trade promotes carbon emissions,while when UL>0.831,export trade restrains carbon emissions.At the current stage of China's urbanization level,export trade to countries along the"Belt and Road"has a certain inhibitory effect on China's carbon emissions.Meanwhile,the carbon emission level is also affected by factors such as ST,RE,and RD.
作者
潘文富
陈爱
PAN Wenfu;CHEN Ai
出处
《商业经济》
2025年第3期74-77,122,共5页
Business & Economy
基金
国家社科基金西部项目:助力缓解需求收缩的新型城镇化发展质量提升研究(22XJY020)
贵州省哲学社会科学规划重点课题:贵州企业债券违约风险预警研究(21GZZD57)。
关键词
“一带一路”
出口贸易
碳排放
门槛效应
the Belt and Road
export trade
carbon emissions
threshold effect
