摘要
依托于农业新质生产力降低农业碳排放强度是我国由农业大国向农业强国转型的高效催化剂。基于2011-2021年省级面板数据实证分析了农业新质生产力对农业碳排放强度的影响。研究发现,农业新质生产力显著抑制了农业碳排放强度,农业新质生产力水平每提高1个单位,农业碳排放强度将会随之下降0.233个单位,经过一系列稳健性检验及内生性问题处理后,结论仍然成立;影响机制分析表明,农业新质生产力会通过提高农村劳动生产率及农业土地生产率而抑制农业碳排放强度;异质性分析表明,影响效应在非粮食主产区发挥得更加明显,并且呈现出东部最高、中部次之、西部居后的格局。此外,农业新质生产力的农业碳减排效应会伴随着数字普惠金融与农业规模经营的门槛效应。据此,围绕充分发挥农业新质生产力的农业碳减排效应,为“双碳”目标的实现保驾护航;因地制宜,探索具有地方特色的农业新质生产力发展路径;加快具有三农属性的数字金融产品创新,加大农地流转推动农业规模经营等方面提出对策建议。
Relying on new agricultural productivity to reduce agricultural carbon emissions intensity is an efficient catalyst for China's transformation from an agricultural powerhouse to an agricultural powerhouse.An empirical analysis was conducted on the impact of agricultural new quality productivity on agricultural carbon emission intensity based on provincial panel data from 2011 to 2021.Research has found that agricultural new quality productivity significantly suppresses agricultural carbon emission intensity.For every 1 unit increase in the level of agricultural new quality productivity,the agricultural carbon emission intensity will decrease by 0.233 units.After a series of robustness tests and endogeneity issues,the conclusion still holds true;The analysis of the impact mechanism shows that agricultural new quality productivity will suppress agricultural carbon emission intensity by improving rural labor productivity and agricultural land productivity;Heterogeneity analysis shows that the impact effect is more pronounced in non grain producing areas,and presents a pattern of highest in the east,followed by the middle,and then the west.In addition,the agricultural carbon reduction effect of new agricultural productivity will be accompanied by the threshold effect of digital inclusive finance and agricultural scale operation.Based on this,the agricultural carbon emission reduction effect around fully leveraging the new quality productivity of agriculture will safeguard the achievement of the"dual carbon"goal;Adapt to local conditions and explore the development path of agricultural new quality productivity with local characteristics;Propose countermeasures and suggestions to accelerate the innovation of digital financial products with agricultural,rural,and farmer attributes,increase the transfer of agricultural land,and promote large-scale agricultural operations.
作者
陈培彬
黄可权
朱朝枝
CHEN Peibin;HUANG Kequan;ZHU Chaozhi(School of Economics and Management,Longyan University,Longyan,Fujian 364012;School of Rural Revitalization,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou,Fujian 350002)
出处
《管理现代化》
北大核心
2025年第1期21-31,共11页
Modernization of Management
基金
国家社科基金一般项目“基于制度与技术双重交易费用的农村信贷传导困境破解路径研究”(22BGL293)。
关键词
农业新质生产力
农业碳排放强度
农村劳动生产率
农业土地生产率
Agricultural new quality productivity
Agricultural carbon emission intensity
Rural labor productivity
Agricultural land productivity
