摘要
通过分析土地利用变化和生境质量的时空演变特征并预测未来发展趋势,可为区域可持续发展提供参考依据。基于福州市2000、2005、2010、2015、2020年的土地利用数据,运用InVEST模型、土地利用转移矩阵和Ca-Markov模型等方法,综合分析并预测福州市的土地利用变化情况和生境质量时空演变。结果表明,耕地与建设用地主要分布在福州的东南部地区,林地和草地分布在西北部区域。2000—2020年福州市生境质量指数呈逐年下降的趋势。在不考虑人为因素的影响下,到2035年,福州市耕地面积有所下降,北部的草地面积有所上升,建设用地面积呈现较大扩张。在不考虑人为因素的影响下,2020—2035年福州市生境质量维持下降态势。
By analyzing the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of land use change and habitat quality,as well as predicting future development trends,we can provide reference for regional sustainable development.This study based on land use data of Fuzhou from the years 2000,2005,2010,2015 and 2020,employs methods such as the InVEST model,land use transfer matrix,and CA-Markov model to comprehensively analyze and predict the land use change and the spatiotemporal evolution of habitat quality in Fuzhou.The results indicate that Farmland and construction areas are predominantly located in the southeastern region of Fuzhou,whereas forests and grasslands are primarily found in the northwestern area.From 2000 to 2020,the habitat quality index of Fuzhou has shown a downward trend year by year.Without considering the impact of human factors,by 2035,the area of farmland in Fuzhou is expected to decline,the area of grassland in the northern part will increase,and the construction land area will expand significantly.Without considering the impact of human factors,from 2020 to 2035,the habitat quality in Fuzhou will continue to decline.
作者
何梦婷
郑玮锋
余文馨
张潇洲
何可沁
HE Mengting;ZHENG Weifeng;YU Wenxin;ZHANG Xiaozhou;HE Keqin(College of Landscape Architecture and Art,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,350002,Fuzhou,PRC;Ping Marine Meteorological Observation and Research Station for the Taiwan Strait of Fujian Province,350400,Pingtan,Fujian,PRC)
出处
《江西科学》
2025年第1期101-109,共9页
Jiangxi Science
