摘要
根据现阶段系统性金融风险防范面临的现实问题,以2016─2022年河南省18个省辖市的经济金融数据为基础,构建社会网络分析模型,研究了系统性金融风险在各市之间的跨区域传染问题。研究结果显示:①各城市间的金融风险传染效应正在不断增加并集中于某些城市,而且传染路径更为复杂隐蔽。②郑州市在河南省系统性金融风险跨区域传染网络中处于节点中心位置,并且在一定程度上可以影响金融风险在省内的网络扩散传染效果。③郑州、许昌等网络中心城市更多接收风险传染并发挥中介作用,济源等网络边缘城市不接收风险传染只是向外溢出风险,洛阳、新乡等城市也发挥风险中介作用,但更多向外传染金融风险。
According to the current practical problems faced by the prevention of systematic financial risk,based on the economic and financial data of 18 provincial-level cities in Henan Province from 2016 to 2022,the crossregional contagion of systemic financial risks among different cities in Henan Province are studied by the social network analysis model constructed in this paper.The research results show that:①The contagion effect of financial risks among cities at various levels in Henan Province is constantly increasing and concentrated in some cities,and the contagion path is more complex and covert.②Zhengzhou is at the center of the cross-regional transmission network of systemic financial risks in Henan Province,which can affect the network diffusion and transmission effect of financial risks within the region to a certain extent.③Network central cities such as Zhengzhou and Xuchang receive more risk contagion and play an intermediary role.Network edge cities such as Jiyuan do not receive risk contagion but only spill out risks.Luoyang,Xinxiang and other cities also play a risk intermediary role,
作者
韩喜昆
胡津铭
何补江
蔡安琪
HAN Xikun;HU Jinming;HE Bujiang;Cai Anqi(Business School of Henan Normal University,Xinxiang 453000,Henan China;Guizhou Provincial Branch of the People’s Bank of China,Guiyang 550000,China;School of Finance,Nankai University,Tianjin 300350,China)
出处
《河南科学》
2025年第2期286-294,共9页
Henan Science
基金
河南省社科基金项目(2021CJJ144)
河南省高等学校重点科研项目(22A790009)。
关键词
河南省
系统性金融风险
区域传染
社会网络分析模型
Henan Province
systemic financial risk
regional contagion
social network analysis model
