摘要
应用模糊专家系统的基本理论,构建了工作面设备选型模糊专家系统,同时探讨了选型结果的风险性.实践表明,该系统可提供多个参考方案及采用这些方案的潜在风险,增加了决策的灵活性.但初始可信度和风险的确定及其传播还有待进一步研究.
This paper applied the theory of fuzzy expert system, built a equipment selection system by it and discussed the risk on its result. Some practices of this system have proved, it can provide several schemes with them reliability and risk at one time, and improve the room for decisionmaking. But the initially values of risk and reliability is difficult, and the transfer of risk and reliability need to research farther.
出处
《煤炭学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2002年第6期649-652,共4页
Journal of China Coal Society
基金
贵州省优秀教育人才省长专项资金资助项目
关键词
风险决策理论
模糊专家系统
设备选型
设备配套
采煤工作面
risky decisionmaking
fuzzy expert system
equipment selection
sets of equipment in working face
