摘要
[目的/意义]国防科技创新助力新质战斗力发展已成为我国战略需求,有效预测国防科技创新路径对于切实提高国防科技创新能力、打造我国新质战斗力具有重要意义。[方法/过程]针对国防科技创新突变性、不确定性与高风险性特征,文章根据国防科技创新路径预测核心要素,构建大模型赋能国防科技创新路径预测逻辑框架,利用军事需求识别、军工企业关键技术预测与创新政策挖掘子模型,对国防科技创新路径预测进行理论分析。[结果/结论]研究发现,大模型能够有效预测国防科技的发展趋势和关键技术突破点,为国防科技创新决策提供科学依据,切实推动新质生产力与新质战斗力深度融合。
[Purpose/significance]The innovation of national defense-related science and technology promoting the development of new-quality fighting capacity has become a national strategic demand,effectively forecasting innovation pathways in national defense-related science and technology is of great significance to improve the innovation capability of national defense-related science and technology and create the Chinese new quality fighting capacity.[Method/process]In view of characteristics of the innovation of national defense-related science and technology,i.e.mutability,uncertainty and high risk,this thesis constructs a logical framework of forecasting innovation pathway in national defense-related science and technology based on the theoretical analysis of the core elements of forecasting innovation path,and adopts three submodels i.e.identification of military needs,prediction of key technologies and mining of supportive policies to forecast innovation pathway in national defense-related science and technology.[Result/conclusion]The research results show that the foundation model can effectively predict the development trend of national defense-related science and technology and key technological break throughs,which provide scientific basis for the decision-making of innovation of national defense-related science and technology and effectively promote the integration of the new quality productivity and the new quality fighting capacity.
作者
段雨竺
付强
李玉琼
DUAN Yuzhu;FU Qiang;LI Yuqiong(School of Educational Science,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081;School of Economics,Management and Law,University of South China,Hengyang 421001;Hunan Province Open Economy Research Base,Hunan Institute of Technology,Hengyang 421001;Criminal Investigation Police University of China,Shenyang 110854)
出处
《科技情报研究》
2025年第1期86-94,共9页
Scientific Information Research
基金
国防技术基础科研项目“基于图谱关联分析的科技创新实体监测与画像研究”(编号:JSQB2023206S005)
国防基础科研计划一般项目“核邻避事件应急管理技术研究”(编号:JCKY2022403C003)
湖南省社会科学基金基地项目“湖南校企创新联合体协同网络演化机理与优化研究”(编号:23JD025)
湖南省社会科学基金基地项目“湖南企业核心技术创新治理体系构建研究”(编号:22JD033)
湖南省科技创新平台开放课题项目“数字经济下大数据驱动的区块链数字化治理生态体系研究”(编号:KFKB2210)
湖南省教育厅科学研究一般项目“区块链赋能湖南数字经济治理体系构建研究”(编号:22C0218)。
关键词
新质战斗力
大模型
国防科技创新
创新路径预测
new quality fighting capacity
foundation model
innovation of national defense-related science and technology
forecasting innovation pathways
