摘要
全球价值链已经成为全球经济的基本结构特征,国际贸易关系日益表现为复杂网络化的跨国生产共享关系。文章在增加值贸易核算数据基础上,将社会网络研究中的指标算法分析、可视化分析以及STERGM网络建模分析方法系统地应用于制造业国际贸易网络结构特征和演变机制研究。研究发现:制造业国际贸易网络具有稳定的分组结构和等级结构,中国在亚洲网络地位的崛起推动了“泛亚太网络”发展,但中国的网络地位并不稳固;制造业国际贸易网络结构演化是一种高度自组织过程。相比多边关系,双边贸易关系对网络结构演化具有更重要的影响力,地理因素、文化因素以及贸易协定等外部因素对贸易关系的影响并不明显。
Global value chain(GVC)has become a fundamental structural characteristic of global economy and international trade relations are increasingly manifested as complex and networked cross-border production sharing relations.Based on the accounting data of TiVA,this paper systematically applies indicator algorithm analysis,visualization analysis and STERGM network modeling analysis in the research on the characteristics and the evolution mechanism of international trade network structure in manufacturing sector.The research findings are as follows:international trade network in manufacturing sector exhibits stable grouping structure and hierarchical structure,and the rise of China's position in Asian network promotes the development of"Pan-Asia-Pacific Network",but China's network position is not firmly established;the evolution of international trade network structure in manufacturing sector is a highly self-organizing process.Compared with multilateral relations,bilateral trade relations have more significant influence on the evolution of network structure,while external factors such as geographical factors,cultural factors and trade agreements do not have significant influence on trade relations.
作者
李晓
刘宝琦
LI Xiao;LIU Baoqi
出处
《国际经贸探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第12期4-20,共17页
International Economics and Trade Research
